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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Sep 19, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 1.11 |
| $0.900 |
| $1 |
| Sep 18, 2025 |
Will Trump say "NATO" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Sep 18, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Sep 18, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | sell | 9.21 | $0.460 | $4.24 | Sep 18, 2025 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on September 19?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.573 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Trump say "God" or "Evil" during the UK state banquet on September 17?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Peace" during the UK state banquet on September 17?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Trump say "United States" 2+ times during the UK state banquet on September 17?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Trump say "King" or "Queen" 4+ times during the UK state banquet on September 17?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?No | buy | 3 | $0.667 | $2 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Sep 12, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Sep 12, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during Fox & Friends appearance on September 12?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Sep 12, 2025 |
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.82 | $0.440 | $3 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Canada recession in 2025?No | buy | 4.62 | $0.650 | $3 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?No | buy | 4.84 | $0.620 | $3 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.5%?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.110 | $3 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.028 | $3 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on September 30?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.690 | $3 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will Trump say "God" or "Evil" 7+ times during 9-11 memorial event?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 20+ times during 9-11 memorial event?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Biden" during 9-11 memorial event?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Sep 11, 2025 |