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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 505.29 | $0.709 | $384.02 | +$25.74 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.94 | $0.830 | $1.61 | 7d ago |
| No |
| 320 |
| $0.927 |
| $299.2 |
| +$2.64 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 208.63 | $0.961 | $201.64 | +$1.14 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 195 | $0.815 | $166.73 | +$7.85 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 142.94 | $0.932 | $137.66 | +$4.47 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 130 | $0.940 | $122.85 | +$0.65 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 127.49 | $0.955 | $121.24 | -$0.46 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 130 | $0.920 | $120.25 | +$0.6 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | No | 115 | $0.847 | $102.93 | +$5.53 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.910 | $93.5 | +$2.5 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 100.01 | $0.757 | $85.26 | +$9.57 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 85 | $0.838 | $73.53 | +$2.33 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 80 | $0.870 | $70 | +$0.4 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 75 | $0.858 | $69.64 | +$5.31 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 83.26 | $0.710 | $63.28 | +$4.16 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 65 | $0.834 | $54.28 | +$0.05 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 60 | $0.881 | $53.4 | +$0.56 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 65 | $0.832 | $52.98 | -$1.12 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 70 | $0.690 | $52.15 | +$3.83 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 53.2 | $0.945 | $50.41 | +$0.12 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 50 | $0.909 | $46.25 | +$0.8 |
 Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 56.79 | $0.735 | $44.58 | +$2.84 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 45 | $0.928 | $42.08 | +$0.33 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | No | 43.64 | $0.957 | $41.63 | -$0.13 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 40 | $0.880 | $35.8 | +$0.6 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.830 |
| $4.15 |
| 7d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | 22d ago |
 Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.995 | $4.98 | Jul 2, 2026 |