Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 400 | $0.972 | $387.8 | -$1 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.384 | $7.68 | 28d ago |
 |
| No |
| 400 |
| $0.962 |
| $384.6 |
| -$0.2 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 100 | $0.979 | $99.35 | +$1.45 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 100 | $0.979 | $99.05 | +$1.15 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 100 | $0.955 | $97.15 | +$1.65 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.830 | $77 | -$89 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 20 | $0.384 | $6.99 | -$0.69 |
| buy |
| 42.89 |
| $0.993 |
| $42.59 |
| 28d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.860 | $172 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.976 | $390.4 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.962 | $384.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 400 | $0.920 | $368 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?No | sell | 1.3K | $0.987 | $1.28K | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.990 | $990 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?No | buy | 100 | $0.979 | $97.9 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?No | sell | 110.24 | $0.999 | $110.13 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will another candidate win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election?No | sell | 438.23 | $0.999 | $437.79 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?No | sell | 485 | $0.998 | $484.03 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 New pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 42 | $0.890 | $37.38 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?No | sell | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?No | sell | 334.6 | $0.999 | $334.27 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Yes | sell | 294.37 | $0.981 | $288.78 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | sell | 184.44 | $0.946 | $174.48 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.966 | $193.2 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.958 | $191.6 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?No | sell | 270.18 | $0.980 | $264.78 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 196.68 | $0.990 | $194.71 | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.720 | $72 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?No | buy | 170.7 | $0.930 | $158.75 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?No | buy | 172.56 | $0.890 | $153.58 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 157.35 | $0.963 | $151.53 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate by March 31?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | sell | 1.34 | $0.984 | $1.32 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 259.29 | $0.955 | $247.63 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?Yes | sell | 258.22 | $0.959 | $247.63 | Dec 14, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?Yes | buy | 115.04 | $0.950 | $109.29 | Dec 6, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | sell | 109.43 | $0.950 | $103.96 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?Yes | buy | 279.41 | $0.340 | $95 | Dec 1, 2024 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | Dec 1, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.880 | $105.6 | Dec 1, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 109.44 | $0.914 | $100 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?No | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | Nov 22, 2024 |