Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?No | sell | 104.51 | $0.524 | $54.78 | Nov 7, 2025 |
|
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.700 |
| $7 |
| Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Uspenivka by October 31?No | sell | 82.6 | $0.940 | $77.64 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?No | buy | 137.02 | $0.840 | $115.1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 135.13 | $0.480 | $64.86 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?No | buy | 114.52 | $0.873 | $100 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 135.14 | $0.740 | $100 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Uspenivka by October 31?No | buy | 82.61 | $0.920 | $76 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 691.56 | $0.920 | $636.24 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 US bank failure before March?No | buy | 713.31 | $0.846 | $603.76 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?No | sell | 612.34 | $0.986 | $603.77 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 691.57 | $0.920 | $636.24 | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?No | buy | 612.34 | $0.980 | $600 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?No | sell | 1.14K | $0.999 | $1.13K | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?No | sell | 101.69 | $0.999 | $101.59 | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?No | buy | 101.69 | $0.950 | $96.61 | Dec 30, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?No | buy | 659.42 | $0.989 | $651.97 | Dec 28, 2024 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 724.41 | $0.900 | $651.97 | Dec 28, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?No | buy | 476.37 | $0.967 | $460.65 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Elon Musk arrested in 2024?No | sell | 462.96 | $0.995 | $460.65 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 267.41 | $0.869 | $232.28 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 237.99 | $0.976 | $232.28 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 457 | $0.929 | $424.58 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?No | sell | 428.38 | $0.991 | $424.58 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 238 | $0.951 | $226.32 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Macron impeached in 2024?No | sell | 204.99 | $0.984 | $201.69 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?No | sell | 28 | $0.880 | $24.64 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?No | buy | 28 | $0.860 | $24.08 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | sell | 25.03 | $0.962 | $24.08 | Dec 7, 2024 |
| Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?No | buy | 428.38 | $0.969 | $415.31 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?No | buy | 120.25 | $0.976 | $117.41 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Diddy released from custody before December?No | sell | 117.76 | $0.997 | $117.41 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Diddy released from custody before December?No | buy | 117.76 | $0.930 | $109.52 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Israel military action against Iraq before December?No | sell | 120.36 | $0.910 | $109.53 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?No | buy | 80.01 | $0.824 | $65.93 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 400k+ BTC before 2025?No | sell | 169.39 | $0.387 | $65.56 | Nov 23, 2024 |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 400k+ BTC before 2025?No | buy | 169.39 | $0.732 | $124 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?Yes | sell | 141.33 | $0.880 | $124.37 | Nov 20, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iraq before December?No | buy | 120.37 | $0.815 | $98.14 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Israel strikes Iranian oil in 2024?No | sell | 58.96 | $0.930 | $54.83 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?Yes | buy | 141.33 | $0.771 | $108.91 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Barcelona win La Liga?Yes | sell | 178.54 | $0.610 | $108.91 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Israel strikes Iranian oil in 2024?No | buy | 58.96 | $0.810 | $47.76 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?Yes | sell | 69.21 | $0.690 | $47.75 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Will Barcelona win La Liga?Yes | buy | 178.54 | $0.714 | $127.51 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Barcelona win La Liga?Yes | sell | 190.32 | $0.670 | $127.51 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 US bank failure before December?No | buy | 215.04 | $0.930 | $199.99 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Barcelona win La Liga?Yes | buy | 144.42 | $0.686 | $99.02 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Macron impeached in 2024?No | buy | 205 | $0.976 | $200 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Barcelona win La Liga?Yes | buy | 45.9 | $0.700 | $32.13 | Nov 8, 2024 |