Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.105 | $4.62 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 33 |
| $0.830 |
| $27.39 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 33 | $0.830 | $27.39 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 28 | $0.985 | $27.58 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 29 | $0.955 | $27.7 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 54 | $0.500 | $27 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.520 | $27.56 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 31 | $0.961 | $29.79 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.962 | $29.82 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.100 | $4.5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.260 | $3.9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 94 | $0.270 | $25.38 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.938 | $30.95 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.520 | $31.2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 43 | $0.670 | $28.81 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.680 | $7.48 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 36 | $0.880 | $31.68 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 36 | $0.870 | $31.32 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 13 | $0.730 | $9.49 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 36 | $0.730 | $26.28 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.986 | $31.55 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 33 | $0.968 | $31.94 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.969 | $31.98 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 33 | $0.956 | $31.55 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.035 | $1.26 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 28 | $0.971 | $27.19 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 69 | $0.450 | $31.05 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.025 | $2.03 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.027 | $2.03 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?No | sell | 10 | $0.991 | $9.91 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?No | buy | 10 | $0.989 | $9.89 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 10 | $0.991 | $9.91 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.989 | $9.89 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 7 | $0.984 | $6.89 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.054 | $2.86 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.055 | $2.64 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.987 | $9.87 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 7 | $0.981 | $6.87 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.989 | $7.91 | May 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 8 | $0.985 | $7.88 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.982 | $4.91 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.241 | $3.37 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.322 | $6.44 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win by over 18%?No | sell | 6 | $0.987 | $5.92 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.971 | $5.83 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Netherlands be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No | sell | 6 | $0.967 | $5.8 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Netherlands be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No | buy | 10 | $0.968 | $9.68 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?Simion | buy | 12 | $0.828 | $9.94 | May 17, 2025 |