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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 47.62 |
| $0.021 |
| $1 |
| Jul 30, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Apr 23, 2025 |
Will egg prices be less than $4.75 in April?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Will Musk say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?Yes | sell | 6.55 | $0.300 | $1.96 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Will Musk say "Trump" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?Yes | sell | 7.66 | $0.990 | $7.58 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Will Musk say "Inflation" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Will Musk say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?Yes | buy | 6.55 | $0.153 | $1 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Will Musk say "Rare Earth" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?Yes | buy | 8.82 | $0.340 | $3 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Will Musk say "Trump" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?Yes | buy | 7.66 | $0.652 | $5 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Mar 19, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 128.93 | $0.008 | $1 | Mar 19, 2025 |
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 42.97 | $0.006 | $0.26 | Feb 27, 2025 |
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 79.36 | $0.002 | $0.16 | Feb 27, 2025 |
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Feb 3, 2025 |
Was JFK assassination an inside job?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Feb 2, 2025 |
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 42.98 | $0.047 | $2 | Feb 2, 2025 |
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 2.53 | $0.420 | $1.06 | Jan 27, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.345 | $34.46 | Jan 27, 2025 |
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 79.37 | $0.126 | $10 | Jan 9, 2025 |
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.072 | $10 | Jan 9, 2025 |
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 131.17 | $0.076 | $10 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.092 | $10 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 2.54 | $0.394 | $1 | Jan 5, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jan 5, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 5, 2025 |
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.065 | $1 | Jan 5, 2025 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 211.58 | $0.095 | $20 | Jan 5, 2025 |