Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 999.88 | $0.163 | $162.57 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 305.76 |
| $0.790 |
| $241.55 |
| Mar 24, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 305.77 | $0.730 | $223.21 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | sell | 223.66 | $0.998 | $223.21 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 223.66 | $0.930 | $208 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 208.21 | $0.999 | $208 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 208.21 | $0.997 | $207.59 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 2.12K | $0.036 | $76.2 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?No | sell | 142.77 | $0.920 | $131.28 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 2.12K | $0.240 | $508.01 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 595.23 | $0.740 | $440.47 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 GPT-5.4 released by March 5?No | buy | 4.07K | $0.183 | $745.2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 2.2K | $0.227 | $500 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 1.87K | $0.267 | $500 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 595.24 | $0.840 | $500 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 255.27 | $0.783 | $200 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 16.54 | $0.490 | $8.1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 650.62 | $0.792 | $515.02 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 760.74 | $0.677 | $515.02 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 4.02K | $0.498 | $2K | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 760.74 | $0.710 | $540 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?No | buy | 243.68 | $0.026 | $6.25 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.51K | $0.800 | $2.01K | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.51K | $0.797 | $2K | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 536.8 | $0.520 | $279.14 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 2.3K | $0.868 | $1.99K | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 3.63K | $0.148 | $536.79 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.63K | $0.299 | $1.08K | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.457 | $91.4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 2.7K | $0.400 | $1.08K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.500 | $0.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 811.63 | $0.300 | $243.49 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?Yes | sell | 236.23 | $0.997 | $235.52 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?No | sell | 59.18 | $0.930 | $55.04 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?Yes | buy | 236.23 | $0.985 | $232.69 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 26?No | sell | 31.08 | $0.983 | $30.55 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?No | sell | 1 | $0.640 | $0.64 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?Yes | buy | 553.64 | $0.930 | $514.89 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 221.44 | $0.903 | $200 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?No | sell | 7.37 | $0.710 | $5.23 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?No | buy | 198.39 | $0.373 | $74.08 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 24?No | sell | 145.69 | $0.990 | $144.17 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?No | buy | 441.59 | $0.621 | $274.11 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?Yes | sell | 275.21 | $0.996 | $274.11 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?No | buy | 70.61 | $0.612 | $43.2 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Al Green attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 58.46 | $0.739 | $43.2 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?Yes | buy | 275.22 | $0.966 | $265.86 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 282.07 | $0.943 | $265.87 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?No | buy | 59.18 | $0.820 | $48.53 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 26?No | buy | 31.08 | $0.850 | $26.42 | Feb 23, 2026 |