Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.954 | $4.87 | 25d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 5.1 |
| $0.997 |
| $5.08 |
| 25d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.994 | $5.07 | 25d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.890 | $4.54 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.940 | $4.79 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.988 | $5.04 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.790 | $4.03 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 11?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.950 | $4.85 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 10?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.950 | $4.85 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.967 | $4.93 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 5.99 | $0.950 | $5.69 | May 18, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 18?No | buy | 5.99 | $0.974 | $5.83 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.2 | $0.807 | $4.2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.2 | $0.884 | $4.6 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.976 | $6.3 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.989 | $5.14 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.970 | $5.04 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.977 | $5.08 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.950 | $4.94 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.958 | $6.61 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.995 | $5.07 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.992 | $5.06 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.982 | $5.11 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.940 | $4.89 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.939 | $4.73 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.950 | $4.85 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.991 | $5.05 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | buy | 5.3 | $0.946 | $5.01 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.998 | $5.09 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.979 | $4.99 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.997 | $5.18 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.998 | $5.09 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-27?Yes | buy | 19.5 | $0.990 | $19.31 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Polish strike on Belarus by September 30?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.996 | $5.08 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Polish strike on Russia by September 30?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.998 | $5.09 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?No | buy | 8.22 | $0.920 | $7.56 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran before September?No | buy | 7.7 | $0.950 | $7.31 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?No | buy | 6 | $0.935 | $5.61 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.994 | $4.97 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Iran nuclear test in 2025?No | buy | 6 | $0.930 | $5.58 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | buy | 6 | $0.976 | $5.86 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 8 | $0.967 | $7.74 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.994 | $5.96 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 5 | $0.973 | $4.87 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 8.5 | $0.986 | $8.38 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 8 | $0.971 | $7.77 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 8 | $0.981 | $7.85 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 8 | $0.997 | $7.98 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?No | sell | 8 | $0.996 | $7.97 | Apr 30, 2025 |