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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 833.33 | $0.004 | $3.1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 54.54 |
| $0.740 |
| $40.36 |
| Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 54.55 | $0.110 | $6 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | sell | 966.95 | $0.005 | $5.2 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | sell | 446.46 | $0.012 | $5.38 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 757.14 | $0.013 | $10 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes | buy | 390.57 | $0.013 | $5 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 481.89 | $0.010 | $5 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 966.95 | $0.010 | $9.78 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 446.47 | $0.022 | $10 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 4.5K | $0.002 | $9 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 3.32K | $0.001 | $3.32 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETDown | sell | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | sell | 0.83 | $0.320 | $0.27 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | sell | 4.17 | $0.270 | $1.13 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETDown | sell | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETDown | sell | 9.09 | $0.050 | $0.45 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETDown | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETDown | sell | 5.88 | $0.160 | $0.94 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETDown | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETDown | sell | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETDown | sell | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETDown | sell | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETUp | sell | 3.44 | $0.400 | $1.38 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETUp | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETDown | sell | 65.75 | $0.010 | $0.66 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETDown | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETDown | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown | sell | 2.7 | $0.360 | $0.97 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETUp | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETUp | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETDown | buy | 12.78 | $0.078 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETDown | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETDown | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETDown | buy | 31.82 | $0.157 | $5 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 108.16 | $0.009 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |