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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.985 | $46.3 | May 25, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 8 |
| $0.430 |
| $3.44 |
| May 25, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 92 | $0.430 | $39.56 | May 25, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.650 | $45.5 | May 25, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.650 | $50.7 | May 25, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 51 | $0.988 | $50.39 | May 24, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.988 | $50.39 | May 24, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on July 9?No | sell | 21 | $0.985 | $20.69 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | sell | 20 | $0.741 | $14.82 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.014 | $0.18 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 19 | $0.957 | $18.18 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.014 | $0.59 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.030 | $0.63 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 17 | $0.985 | $16.75 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.027 | $0.54 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will Nuno Mendes win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 20 | $0.981 | $19.62 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 20 | $0.985 | $19.7 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 21 | $0.968 | $20.33 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 21 | $0.968 | $20.33 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 20 | $0.977 | $19.54 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.038 | $3.42 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.034 | $1.7 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.961 | $19.22 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.968 | $19.36 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.945 | $0.95 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.011 | $0.27 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 9 | $0.946 | $8.51 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 11 | $0.934 | $10.27 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.969 | $18.41 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 47 | $0.190 | $8.93 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.189 | $4.16 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 22 | $0.933 | $20.53 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.414 | $3.31 | May 22, 2025 |
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.595 | $2.97 | May 19, 2025 |
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.018 | $0.34 | May 17, 2025 |
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2 | May 15, 2025 |