Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 115.79 | $0.190 | $1.45 | -$20.55 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 250.97 | $0.009 | $2.26 | 13d ago |
|
| buy |
| 256.42 |
| $0.008 |
| $2.05 |
| 13d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 115.79 | $0.190 | $22 | 13d ago |
 Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?Yes | buy | 27.28 | $0.940 | $25.64 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $70-$80 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?Yes | buy | 25.65 | $0.834 | $21.4 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | sell | 21.53 | $0.994 | $21.4 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 21.53 | $0.930 | $20.02 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 191.54 | $0.999 | $191.35 | May 31, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 191.55 | $0.513 | $98.31 | May 16, 2025 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Yes | sell | 153.84 | $0.120 | $18.46 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 233.06 | $0.458 | $106.77 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 227.16 | $0.470 | $106.77 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 163.95 | $0.458 | $75.09 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 159.78 | $0.470 | $75.1 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 73.85 | $0.438 | $32.35 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 67.39 | $0.480 | $32.35 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 251.15 | $0.630 | $158.22 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.620 | $3.52 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 50% on May 31?Yes | sell | 291.03 | $0.963 | $280.25 | May 13, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | sell | 34 | $0.590 | $20.06 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?No | buy | 78.96 | $0.460 | $36.32 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?No | sell | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?Yes | sell | 50.05 | $0.566 | $28.31 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?Yes | buy | 50.05 | $0.640 | $32.03 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 22.72 | $0.880 | $19.99 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?Yes | sell | 1.78 | $0.640 | $1.14 | May 13, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Yes | buy | 414.65 | $0.048 | $20 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | May 12, 2025 |
| China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | May 12, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Yes | buy | 24.9 | $0.040 | $1 | May 12, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will 'Shadow Force' gross more than $2m opening weekend?Yes | sell | 103.4 | $0.999 | $103.3 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 50% on May 31?Yes | buy | 103.57 | $0.947 | $98.08 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 50% on May 31?Yes | buy | 187.46 | $0.965 | $180.97 | May 12, 2025 |
 US-China trade deal before June?Yes | sell | 181.15 | $0.999 | $180.97 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 6-12?Yes | sell | 100.71 | $0.990 | $99.7 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on May 16?Yes | sell | 117.64 | $0.150 | $17.65 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 13?Yes | sell | 52.42 | $0.061 | $3.2 | May 12, 2025 |
 NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)Nuggets | sell | 111.11 | $0.150 | $16.67 | May 12, 2025 |
 NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)Knicks | sell | 71.42 | $0.260 | $18.57 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "India" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?Yes | buy | 55.81 | $0.673 | $37.57 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "India" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?Yes | buy | 47.36 | $0.610 | $28.89 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "India" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.600 | $9 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 6-12?Yes | buy | 100.72 | $0.993 | $100 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will 'Shadow Force' gross more than $2m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 103.4 | $0.967 | $100 | May 11, 2025 |
| NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)Knicks | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | May 11, 2025 |
| NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)Nuggets | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on May 16?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | May 11, 2025 |