Latest trade
Jul 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 10:09 PM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 14 settled positions.
AllDayFirefly is down $2.17K on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
Jul 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 10:09 PM UTC.
$17.5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 20 markets; 80.0% were buys. They run from Mar 23, 2026 UTC to Jul 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Open positions could not be confirmed. Missing data does not mean this wallet holds no positions.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETUp | buy | 8.87 | $0.310 | $2.75 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-21 17:36 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-27 22:09 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 22:09 UTC
polymarket positions
15 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-21 17:36 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $299.92 and losing ones cost $180.82 across 14 settled positions. 50% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $121.24 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET” (Down); the largest loss, $97.9 on “US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Jul 2026. It has traded 36 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 10.07K |
| $0.014 |
| $141.04 |
| Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.81K | $0.004 | $43.24 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.95K | $0.004 | $47.78 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.006 | $2.5 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.54K | $0.006 | $285.22 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 623.75 | $0.008 | $4.99 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.99K | $0.008 | $23.9 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 918.75 | $0.008 | $7.35 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5K | $0.008 | $60 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETUp | buy | 28.57 | $0.140 | $4 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETUp | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETUp | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETUp | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETDown | sell | 388.9 | $0.857 | $333.27 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETDown | buy | 388.9 | $0.519 | $201.9 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETDown | sell | 181.81 | $0.629 | $114.27 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETDown | buy | 181.82 | $0.330 | $60 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 161.33 | $0.445 | $71.78 | May 22, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETDown | buy | 102 | $0.245 | $25 | May 22, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETDown | buy | 216.16 | $0.060 | $12.97 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETDown | buy | 400 | $0.010 | $4 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETDown | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETDown | buy | 72.31 | $0.077 | $5.56 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETDown | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp | sell | 24.57 | $0.436 | $10.72 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp | sell | 38.92 | $0.612 | $23.83 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp | buy | 63.49 | $0.157 | $10 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETDown | sell | 11.53 | $0.900 | $10.38 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETDown | buy | 11.54 | $0.780 | $9 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 550 | $0.002 | $1.1 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
 Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes | sell | 116.27 | $0.024 | $2.79 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | sell | 4.91K | $0.001 | $4.91 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETUp | buy | 10.85 | $0.461 | $5 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETUp | buy | 28.24 | $0.708 | $20 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 291.66 | $0.080 | $23.33 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 122.1 | $0.080 | $9.77 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 497.45 | $0.080 | $39.8 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 0.45 | $0.080 | $0.04 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 419.06 | $0.117 | $49 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 329.4 | $0.137 | $45 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 460.42 | $0.098 | $45.12 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.120 | $15 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?No | buy | 56.82 | $0.088 | $5 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.043 | $5 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.91K | $0.011 | $54 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 460.43 | $0.109 | $50 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 550 | $0.180 | $99 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.