Latest trade
Jan 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 10:38 AM UTC.
mariesmith is down $0.76 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-29 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 10:38 AM UTC.
$57.63 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 33 markets; 70.0% were buys. They run from Apr 7, 2025 UTC to Jan 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.025 | $1.15 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-29 10:27 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 10:38 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 10:38 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-29 10:27 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $161.35 and losing ones cost $162.54 across the latest 50 settled positions. 50% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $31.67 on “Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?” (Yes); the largest loss, $43.44 on “Will Republicans control 221 seats in the House after the election?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Jan 2026. It has traded 68 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 1.17 |
| $0.995 |
| $1.16 |
| Dec 6, 2025 UTC |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 286.67 | $0.012 | $3.44 | Jun 18, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon tweet 475–499 times June 6–13?No | buy | 4.05 | $0.999 | $4.05 | Jun 9, 2025 UTC |
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?No | sell | 14.31 | $0.999 | $14.3 | Jun 2, 2025 UTC |
Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 88.98 | $0.996 | $88.62 | May 30, 2025 UTC |
Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.999 | $1.5 | May 30, 2025 UTC |
Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 88.99 | $0.997 | $88.72 | May 29, 2025 UTC |
Will Solana reach $300 in May?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.999 | $19.21 | May 27, 2025 UTC |
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 106.13 | $0.992 | $105.28 | May 26, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 23–30?No | buy | 7.93 | $0.992 | $7.87 | May 25, 2025 UTC |
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 106.12 | $0.993 | $105.38 | May 23, 2025 UTC |
Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 101.6 | $0.997 | $101.3 | May 20, 2025 UTC |
Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 101.6 | $0.997 | $101.3 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 14.31 | $0.988 | $14.14 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 80.85 | $0.997 | $80.61 | May 16, 2025 UTC |
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 101.45 | $0.994 | $100.84 | May 15, 2025 UTC |
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 10.63 | $0.999 | $10.62 | May 15, 2025 UTC |
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 101.46 | $0.995 | $100.95 | May 13, 2025 UTC |
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 11.08 | $0.999 | $11.07 | May 13, 2025 UTC |
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 125.51 | $0.996 | $125.01 | May 12, 2025 UTC |
Will Nacionalista win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.995 | $3.8 | May 10, 2025 UTC |
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 125.51 | $0.998 | $125.26 | May 9, 2025 UTC |
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 60.53 | $0.019 | $1.15 | May 7, 2025 UTC |
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.14 | $0.978 | $5.03 | May 4, 2025 UTC |
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?No | sell | 16.2 | $0.360 | $5.83 | May 3, 2025 UTC |
Will the next Government of Canada be led by another party or coalition?No | sell | 89.01 | $0.996 | $88.65 | May 3, 2025 UTC |
Will someone else win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 29.28 | $0.999 | $29.25 | May 2, 2025 UTC |
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 35.08 | $0.997 | $34.97 | May 1, 2025 UTC |
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 35.08 | $0.998 | $35.01 | Apr 28, 2025 UTC |
Will the PPC win 4 seats in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 2.83 | $0.998 | $2.82 | Apr 27, 2025 UTC |
Will the next Government of Canada be led by another party or coalition?No | buy | 89.02 | $0.999 | $88.93 | Apr 25, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times April 18–25?No | buy | 13.67 | $0.999 | $13.66 | Apr 24, 2025 UTC |
Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 80.57 | $0.996 | $80.25 | Apr 24, 2025 UTC |
Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 80.57 | $0.997 | $80.33 | Apr 24, 2025 UTC |
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 111.64 | $0.995 | $111.08 | Apr 23, 2025 UTC |
Will the Giants draft Jalen Milroe?No | buy | 5.77 | $0.998 | $5.76 | Apr 21, 2025 UTC |
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 111.64 | $0.998 | $111.42 | Apr 20, 2025 UTC |
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 115.87 | $0.998 | $115.64 | Apr 19, 2025 UTC |
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 7.31 | $0.994 | $7.27 | Apr 18, 2025 UTC |
Will the ECB announce no change?No | buy | 5.47 | $0.995 | $5.44 | Apr 16, 2025 UTC |
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 115.88 | $0.999 | $115.76 | Apr 15, 2025 UTC |
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 121.67 | $0.998 | $121.43 | Apr 15, 2025 UTC |
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 121.67 | $0.999 | $121.55 | Apr 14, 2025 UTC |
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 109.57 | $0.998 | $109.35 | Apr 14, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 11–18?No | buy | 6.8 | $0.999 | $6.79 | Apr 13, 2025 UTC |
Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Masters?No | buy | 12.39 | $0.999 | $12.38 | Apr 13, 2025 UTC |
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 109.58 | $0.998 | $109.36 | Apr 12, 2025 UTC |
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 108.7 | $0.997 | $108.37 | Apr 12, 2025 UTC |
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 108.71 | $0.998 | $108.49 | Apr 7, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.