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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 15.66 | $0.996 | $15.59 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.66 | $0.996 | $15.6 | 3d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 12.61 |
| $0.999 |
| $12.6 |
| 18d ago |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 3.01 | $0.904 | $2.72 | 18d ago |
 Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?No | sell | 15.46 | $0.993 | $15.35 | 18d ago |
| Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?No | buy | 15.47 | $0.999 | $15.45 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?Yes | buy | 77.48 | $0.999 | $77.4 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?No | buy | 77.38 | $0.999 | $77.3 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | buy | 77.28 | $0.999 | $77.2 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?Yes | buy | 77.27 | $0.999 | $77.19 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 77.08 | $0.999 | $77 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 77.08 | $0.999 | $77 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?Yes | buy | 76.98 | $0.999 | $76.9 | May 8, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 76.98 | $0.999 | $76.9 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?Yes | buy | 76.9 | $0.999 | $76.83 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 22?Yes | buy | 76.83 | $0.999 | $76.76 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?No | buy | 76.77 | $0.999 | $76.69 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 9?Yes | buy | 76.69 | $0.999 | $76.62 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?No | buy | 76.62 | $0.999 | $76.54 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 26?No | buy | 76.56 | $0.999 | $76.48 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 19?No | buy | 76.48 | $0.999 | $76.4 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 12?Yes | buy | 76.4 | $0.999 | $76.32 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 12?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 5?No | buy | 77.73 | $0.999 | $77.65 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 1?No | buy | 77.65 | $0.999 | $77.57 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No | buy | 77.57 | $0.999 | $77.49 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 77.49 | $0.999 | $77.41 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Ducks vs. FlamesFlames | buy | 40 | $0.510 | $20.4 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 15?Yes | buy | 97.82 | $0.999 | $97.72 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 9?No | buy | 97.72 | $0.999 | $97.62 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 4?No | buy | 97.62 | $0.999 | $97.52 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 29?No | buy | 91.29 | $0.999 | $91.2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 91.09 | $0.999 | $91 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.998 | $1.32 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.991 | $1.23 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.994 | $1.21 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.995 | $1.12 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.988 | $1.31 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?No | buy | 30.06 | $0.998 | $30 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 7?Yes | buy | 60.06 | $0.999 | $60 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 18?No | buy | 22.11 | $0.995 | $22 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.999 | $1.39 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.994 | $1.26 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.998 | $1.14 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 26.12 | $0.999 | $26.09 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No | buy | 26.09 | $0.999 | $26.06 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 5?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No | buy | 25.05 | $0.998 | $25 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 29?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |