Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 171.44 | $0.310 | $53.15 | Jul 19, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 171.44 |
| $0.583 |
| $100 |
| Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.120 | $60 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 130.77 | $0.130 | $17 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 218.88 | $0.054 | $11.83 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 192.3 | $0.240 | $46.15 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.260 | $50 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 253.16 | $0.372 | $94.17 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 161.29 | $0.560 | $90.32 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 218.88 | $0.046 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 253.16 | $0.790 | $200 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.620 | $100 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | sell | 119.1 | $0.975 | $116.12 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 119.11 | $0.840 | $100 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 161.29 | $0.395 | $63.66 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.620 | $100 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETDown | buy | 50.65 | $0.358 | $18.15 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 29.25 | $0.150 | $4.39 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 149.91 | $0.996 | $149.31 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.680 | $100 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETDown | sell | 38.56 | $0.999 | $38.52 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETDown | buy | 37.12 | $0.500 | $18.56 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETDown | sell | 30.44 | $0.850 | $25.87 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETDown | buy | 29.63 | $0.640 | $18.96 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETUp | sell | 31.86 | $0.234 | $7.45 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETUp | buy | 30.95 | $0.610 | $18.88 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETUp | buy | 31.41 | $0.600 | $18.85 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETDown | sell | 31.86 | $0.990 | $31.54 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETDown | buy | 30.95 | $0.610 | $18.88 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETDown | sell | 44.34 | $0.970 | $43.01 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETDown | buy | 43.23 | $0.660 | $28.53 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETDown | sell | 48.89 | $0.999 | $48.84 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETDown | buy | 23.93 | $0.813 | $19.46 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETDown | buy | 24.28 | $0.800 | $19.42 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETDown | sell | 29.56 | $0.400 | $11.82 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETDown | buy | 28.82 | $0.660 | $19.02 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETUp | buy | 27.69 | $0.690 | $19.11 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETUp | sell | 34 | $0.990 | $33.66 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETUp | buy | 32.92 | $0.570 | $18.76 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETDown | buy | 27.71 | $0.700 | $19.4 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETUp | sell | 45.69 | $0.370 | $16.91 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETUp | buy | 44.87 | $0.430 | $19.29 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETUp | sell | 37.05 | $0.320 | $11.86 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETUp | buy | 36.38 | $0.530 | $19.28 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETDown | sell | 77.14 | $0.120 | $9.26 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETDown | buy | 76.07 | $0.256 | $19.45 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETDown | sell | 28.53 | $0.960 | $27.39 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETDown | buy | 28.09 | $0.690 | $19.38 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETDown | sell | 67.94 | $0.180 | $12.23 | Mar 30, 2026 |