Analytics
y4rrow has made $89.52 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | No | 15.92 | $0.920 | $15.21 | +$0.56 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-17 20:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
10 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 11:34 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 11:34 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-17 20:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $2.68K and losing ones cost $2.61K across the latest 50 settled positions. 40% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $935.93 on “Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $279.99 on “Canadiens vs. Lightning” (Canadiens).
It has traded 57 markets. Its open positions are worth $30.24 across 10 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 118.13 |
| $0.092 |
| $4.55 |
| -$6.34 |
 Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 81.21 | $0.099 | $2.23 | -$5.78 |
 Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? | No | 56.94 | $0.088 | $2.22 | -$2.78 |
 Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? | No | 31.11 | $0.096 | $1.4 | -$1.6 |
 Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | No | 37.31 | $0.052 | $1.36 | -$0.58 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 41.15 | $0.340 | $1.34 | -$12.65 |
 Tim Walz in jail by December 31? | No | 1.06 | $0.950 | $1.06 | +$0.05 |
 Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.66 | -$0.34 |
 Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026? | No | 15.63 | $0.080 | $0.22 | -$1.03 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
