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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 14.06 | $0.996 | $13.99 | -$0.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 14.06 | $0.996 | $14 | 3d ago |
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| Yes |
| 2.03 |
| $0.650 |
| $1.42 |
| +$0.1 |
| buy |
| 2.03 |
| $0.650 |
| $1.32 |
| 3d ago |
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 15.31 | $0.999 | $15.29 | 3d ago |
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 15.32 | $0.999 | $15.3 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No | buy | 15.32 | $0.999 | $15.3 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 530 | $0.002 | $1.06 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15?Yes | buy | 87.49 | $0.999 | $87.4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7?Yes | buy | 87.39 | $0.999 | $87.3 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?No | buy | 87.29 | $0.999 | $87.2 | May 30, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?Yes | buy | 87.19 | $0.999 | $87.1 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.002 | $2.11 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No | buy | 89.38 | $0.999 | $89.29 | May 20, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 21?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.002 | $2.21 | May 20, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?No | buy | 91.59 | $0.999 | $91.5 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?No | buy | 91.09 | $0.999 | $91 | May 11, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?No | buy | 91.49 | $0.999 | $91.4 | May 8, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.002 | $2.16 | May 8, 2026 |
Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 93.69 | $0.999 | $93.6 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 27?No | buy | 93.62 | $0.999 | $93.53 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 21?Yes | buy | 93.54 | $0.999 | $93.45 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?No | buy | 93.45 | $0.999 | $93.36 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 93.36 | $0.999 | $93.27 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 93.28 | $0.999 | $93.19 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No | buy | 93.18 | $0.999 | $93.09 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Military action against Iran ends on March 19, 2026?No | buy | 93.09 | $0.999 | $93 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 94.4 | $0.999 | $94.31 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 4?No | buy | 94.3 | $0.999 | $94.21 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 94.21 | $0.999 | $94.12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 1?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.999 | $1.23 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.999 | $1.17 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.999 | $1.21 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 11?No | buy | 50.05 | $0.999 | $50 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 2?No | buy | 95.47 | $0.999 | $95.37 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Raptors vs. Trail BlazersRaptors | buy | 37.7 | $0.610 | $23 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 14?Yes | buy | 82.06 | $0.999 | $81.98 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on January 9?No | buy | 81.98 | $0.999 | $81.9 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 8?No | buy | 600 | $0.002 | $1.2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 5?No | buy | 83.09 | $0.999 | $83.01 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 83.01 | $0.999 | $82.93 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.002 | $1.2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 26?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.005 | $1.1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,400 on November 27?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 19?No | buy | 19.67 | $0.997 | $19.61 | Nov 19, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 46°F or higher on November 19?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.996 | $1.26 | Nov 19, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 19?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.999 | $1.14 | Nov 19, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 17?No | buy | 19.04 | $0.998 | $19 | Nov 17, 2025 |