Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 6.27 | $0.570 | $3.57 | Apr 8, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 6.26 |
| $0.570 |
| $3.57 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | sell | 3.58 | $0.330 | $1.18 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 3.59 | $0.340 | $1.22 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 5.18 | $0.550 | $2.85 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.530 | $2.75 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | sell | 5.63 | $0.350 | $1.97 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | buy | 5.64 | $0.360 | $2.03 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4.09 | $0.510 | $2.09 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.1 | $0.520 | $2.13 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Maduro out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.29 | $0.460 | $2.43 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Maduro out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.3 | $0.470 | $2.49 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.49 | $0.640 | $2.23 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.49 | $0.650 | $2.27 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | sell | 3.65 | $0.445 | $1.62 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 3.66 | $0.454 | $1.66 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | sell | 5.66 | $0.730 | $4.13 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 5.66 | $0.740 | $4.19 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.07 | $0.250 | $1.52 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.260 | $1.58 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 6.6 | $0.380 | $2.51 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 6.6 | $0.400 | $2.64 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 4.39 | $0.727 | $3.19 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 4.4 | $0.730 | $3.21 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 2.99 | $0.441 | $1.32 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.448 | $1.34 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.26 | $0.390 | $1.27 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.27 | $0.410 | $1.34 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 5.68 | $0.533 | $3.03 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.533 | $3.03 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?Yes | sell | 2.84 | $0.570 | $1.62 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?Yes | buy | 2.84 | $0.580 | $1.65 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 5.92 | $0.670 | $3.97 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 5.93 | $0.680 | $4.03 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.650 | $1.44 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?Yes | buy | 2.23 | $0.660 | $1.47 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.05 | $0.490 | $2.47 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.510 | $2.58 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 4.55 | $0.460 | $2.09 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.470 | $2.14 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.510 | $1.7 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 3.34 | $0.530 | $1.77 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?Yes | sell | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Mar 10, 2025 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.540 | $2.08 | Mar 10, 2025 |
 Will Barcelona win La Liga?Yes | sell | 3.1 | $0.540 | $1.67 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Barcelona win La Liga?Yes | buy | 3.11 | $0.560 | $1.74 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will egg prices be above $6.00 in February?Yes | sell | 5.78 | $0.480 | $2.77 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Will egg prices be above $6.00 in February?Yes | buy | 5.78 | $0.500 | $2.89 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?Yes | sell | 7.07 | $0.540 | $3.82 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?Yes | buy | 7.07 | $0.560 | $3.96 | Feb 27, 2025 |