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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 289.99 | $0.373 | $140.64 | +$32.42 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 10.05 | $0.310 | $3.12 | 3d ago |
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| Yes |
| 176.04 |
| $0.565 |
| $97.7 |
| -$1.71 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 572.95 | $0.230 | $88.81 | -$42.82 |
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 193.41 | $0.291 | $66.73 | +$10.37 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Yes | 71.93 | $0.373 | $34.89 | +$8.08 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 259.05 | $0.090 | $31.09 | +$7.84 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | No | 89.25 | $0.285 | $28.11 | +$2.64 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 244.6 | $0.087 | $15.9 | -$5.35 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | Yes | 17.72 | $0.652 | $10.9 | -$0.65 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | No | 20.24 | $0.282 | $5.36 | -$0.34 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.09 | $0.374 | $3.94 | -$0.22 |
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 73.95 | $0.042 | $3.81 | +$0.72 |
US x China Military clash before 2027? | Yes | 17.11 | $0.040 | $0.71 | +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 13.26 |
| $0.310 |
| $4.11 |
| 3d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 6.37 | $0.310 | $1.97 | 3d ago |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 131.11 | $0.090 | $11.8 | 4d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 129.29 | $0.250 | $32.32 | 4d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | buy | 10.82 | $0.320 | $3.46 | 4d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 155.57 | $0.430 | $66.9 | 4d ago |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.35 | $0.090 | $3.27 | 5d ago |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.87 | $0.220 | $2.83 | 17d ago |
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.48 | $0.058 | $2.46 | 20d ago |
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.99 | $0.330 | $2.97 | 20d ago |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Yes | sell | 84.7 | $0.110 | $9.32 | 21d ago |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | sell | 82.11 | $0.200 | $16.42 | 21d ago |
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 130.38 | $0.290 | $37.81 | 21d ago |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | sell | 230.91 | $0.032 | $7.29 | 29d ago |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 191.42 | $0.670 | $128.25 | 29d ago |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 339.31 | $0.100 | $33.93 | 29d ago |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 31.99 | $0.100 | $3.2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 35.67 | $0.390 | $13.91 | Aug 9, 2026 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 37.86 | $0.280 | $10.6 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Yes | sell | 422.07 | $0.080 | $33.77 | Aug 2, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 415 | $0.140 | $58.1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 222 | $0.110 | $24.42 | Aug 1, 2026 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 26.63 | $0.410 | $10.92 | Jul 27, 2026 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 8.37 | $0.410 | $3.43 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Yes | sell | 244.35 | $0.020 | $4.89 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 270.61 | $0.230 | $62.24 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Yes | buy | 273.1 | $0.159 | $43.54 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?No | buy | 222.59 | $0.967 | $215.24 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | sell | 140.38 | $0.360 | $50.54 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?No | sell | 41.64 | $0.700 | $29.15 | Jul 24, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 236.92 | $0.060 | $14.22 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?No | buy | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.370 | $13.32 | Jul 22, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 444 | $0.080 | $35.52 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 482.19 | $0.005 | $2.41 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 19.34 | $0.058 | $1.12 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 57.03 | $0.100 | $5.7 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 340.08 | $0.101 | $34.32 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.31K | $0.075 | $98.43 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.62K | $0.100 | $162.47 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?No | sell | 69.44 | $0.010 | $0.69 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 54.99 | $0.220 | $12.1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 97.54 | $0.220 | $21.46 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 183.27 | $0.190 | $34.82 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 15.39 | $0.380 | $5.85 | Jun 14, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 29 | $0.260 | $7.54 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 386.38 | $0.220 | $85 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 81.9 | $0.410 | $33.58 | Jun 14, 2026 |