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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 117.05 | $0.990 | $116.64 | +$0.76 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 117.05 | $0.990 | $115.88 | 15d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 115.8 |
| $0.972 |
| $112.56 |
| Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 112.69 | $0.957 | $107.8 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.980 | $105 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 101.11 | $0.989 | $100 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 108.54 | $0.976 | $105.94 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 110.35 | $0.960 | $105.94 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 74.8 | $0.956 | $71.51 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 116.48 | $0.870 | $101.34 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 31?No | buy | 107.8 | $0.940 | $101.33 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 102.15 | $0.992 | $101.33 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 102.15 | $0.993 | $101.43 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 126.79 | $0.800 | $101.43 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 126.8 | $0.880 | $111.58 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 112.94 | $0.988 | $111.58 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 112.94 | $0.985 | $111.25 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?No | buy | 111.25 | $0.910 | $101.24 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?No | buy | 101.23 | $0.990 | $100.22 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 85.28 | $0.984 | $83.92 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 83.92 | $0.880 | $73.85 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?No | sell | 138.78 | $0.009 | $1.25 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?No | buy | 138.78 | $0.870 | $120.74 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 132.69 | $0.910 | $120.75 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 132.7 | $0.890 | $118.1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 19?No | buy | 118.09 | $0.977 | $115.32 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 17?No | sell | 14.51 | $0.992 | $14.39 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 17?No | sell | 29.02 | $0.992 | $28.79 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 17?No | sell | 58.03 | $0.992 | $57.57 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 17?No | buy | 116.07 | $0.988 | $114.68 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?No | sell | 114.79 | $0.999 | $114.68 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?No | buy | 114.79 | $0.880 | $101.02 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | sell | 99.24 | $0.992 | $98.44 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 15?No | sell | 94.85 | $0.994 | $94.28 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 15?No | buy | 94.85 | $0.988 | $93.71 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | sell | 95 | $0.988 | $93.86 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | buy | 96.45 | $0.970 | $93.56 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | sell | 79 | $0.930 | $73.47 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | buy | 176.79 | $0.940 | $166.18 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 12?No | buy | 142 | $0.973 | $138.17 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 11?No | buy | 166.19 | $0.981 | $163.03 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 77.62 | $0.950 | $73.74 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 85.41 | $0.950 | $81.14 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?No | buy | 82.3 | $0.960 | $79.01 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?No | buy | 79.01 | $0.978 | $77.27 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 2?No | buy | 75.96 | $0.989 | $75.12 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No | buy | 75.74 | $0.988 | $74.82 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?No | sell | 76.81 | $0.974 | $74.81 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?No | buy | 76.81 | $0.979 | $75.2 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 1?Yes | buy | 75.2 | $0.857 | $64.45 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?No | sell | 67.84 | $0.950 | $64.45 | Dec 1, 2025 |