Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 826.74 | $0.951 | $794.91 | +$8.68 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-08-22?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 21d ago |
|
| No |
| 691.26 |
| $0.945 |
| $667.41 |
| +$14.17 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5.57 | +$0.57 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.54 | $0.902 | $5.2 | +$0.2 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.050 |
| $1 |
| 21d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 670.88 | $0.964 | $646.73 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?No | buy | 691.26 | $0.945 | $653.24 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes | buy | 20.22 | $0.989 | $20 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes | buy | 28.89 | $0.692 | $20 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 28.4 | $0.820 | $23.29 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 34.09 | $0.880 | $30 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes | buy | 19.15 | $0.519 | $9.95 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes | buy | 23.41 | $0.850 | $19.9 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 36.85 | $0.540 | $19.9 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 32.62 | $0.610 | $19.9 | May 14, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 67.38 | $0.738 | $49.75 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?No | buy | 61.6 | $0.290 | $17.87 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?No | buy | 53.45 | $0.920 | $49.18 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 111.05 | $0.896 | $99.5 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 33.44 | $0.897 | $30 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 50.71 | $0.986 | $50 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.54 | $0.902 | $5 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | buy | 760.87 | $0.920 | $700 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.952 | $0.99 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.953 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |