Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 360.25 |
| $0.003 |
| $1 |
| Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 153.26 | $0.007 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?Yes | buy | 89 | $0.011 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?No | buy | 80.58 | $0.012 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iraq by February 28?Yes | sell | 62.81 | $0.470 | $29.53 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28?Yes | buy | 62.81 | $0.016 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.079 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Tesla dip to $330 in February?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?Yes | buy | 13.98 | $0.072 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 4?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on February 6?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETDown | buy | 33.32 | $0.030 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No | sell | 11.23 | $0.535 | $6.01 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 99.96 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETDown | buy | 14.26 | $0.070 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 71.03 | $0.014 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 29?Yes | buy | 59.53 | $0.017 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?Yes | sell | 13.44 | $0.752 | $10.11 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.716 | $10.02 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?Yes | buy | 27.44 | $0.036 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.089 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?Yes | buy | 50.35 | $0.020 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.11 | $0.019 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |