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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Percent" 5+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?No | sell | 734 | $0.001 | $0.73 | Nov 7, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 2.94K |
| $0.010 |
| $28.36 |
| Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 570.3 | $0.033 | $18.82 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 7K | $0.004 | $29.49 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.49K | $0.002 | $4.99 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Zuriel Oduwole win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.96K | $0.010 | $28.79 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Healthcare" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?No | buy | 150.05 | $0.370 | $55.52 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $112k in October?Yes | sell | 290.89 | $0.191 | $55.52 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $112k in October?Yes | buy | 290.9 | $0.490 | $142.45 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Netanyahu say "Hostage" 3+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.111 | $118.4 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Netanyahu say "Iran" 25+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No | buy | 971.16 | $0.631 | $613.02 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Netanyahu say "Palestine" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes | buy | 459.83 | $0.484 | $222.78 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?Yes | sell | 93K | $0.002 | $166.58 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.037 | $0.19 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 175–189 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 2.36K | $0.025 | $59.31 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Birthday" during Fort Bragg remarks on June 10?No | buy | 130.13 | $0.223 | $29.03 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "World War" during Fort Bragg remarks on June 10?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.210 | $30 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "World War" during Fort Bragg remarks on June 10?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.790 | $29.25 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "World War" during Fort Bragg remarks on June 10?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.810 | $30 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on May 16?Yes | buy | 257.93 | $0.146 | $37.59 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90000 and $88000 on April 4?Yes | buy | 136.86 | $0.170 | $23.27 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?Yes | sell | 5.01K | $0.006 | $28.35 | Mar 18, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?Yes | sell | 450 | $0.008 | $3.6 | Mar 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?Yes | buy | 11.88K | $0.005 | $57.1 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Hyperliquid exploit before February?Yes | buy | 13.07K | $0.002 | $26.15 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?Yes | buy | 17.43K | $0.012 | $203.08 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2024?No | buy | 4.82K | $0.015 | $74.66 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 30m Bluesky users in December?Yes | sell | 2.92K | $0.026 | $74.66 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 $PENGU market cap (FDV) $4-6b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.69K | $0.258 | $435.76 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?Yes | sell | 4.36K | $0.100 | $435.76 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?Yes | buy | 4.36K | $0.090 | $392.18 | Dec 13, 2024 |
| Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2024?No | buy | 3.86K | $0.023 | $88.15 | Dec 13, 2024 |
| 30m Bluesky users in December?Yes | buy | 879.21 | $0.017 | $15 | Dec 11, 2024 |
| 30m Bluesky users in December?Yes | buy | 2.04K | $0.015 | $29.8 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 2 or more Vance vs. Walz debates before election?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.003 | $3.41 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 700 | $0.051 | $35.5 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Rogan" during Georgia rally on October 28?Yes | buy | 1.71K | $0.670 | $1.14K | Oct 28, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "New York" 30 or more times during New York rally on October 27?No | buy | 842.51 | $0.428 | $360.86 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "COVID" 2 or more times during New York rally on October 27?No | buy | 1.21K | $0.722 | $874.63 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "beach" during Pennsylvania rally on October 26?No | buy | 978 | $0.659 | $644.28 | Oct 26, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "McDonald's" during Pennsylvania rally on October 26?No | buy | 1.73K | $0.166 | $287.35 | Oct 26, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "unrealized" during Pennsylvania rally on October 26?No | buy | 1.63K | $0.454 | $740.46 | Oct 26, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Wall Street" during Michigan rally on October 25?No | buy | 1.22K | $0.234 | $284.38 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "GM" or "General Motors" during Michigan rally on October 25?Yes | buy | 425.44 | $0.413 | $175.63 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "beach" during Michigan rally on October 25?No | buy | 828.44 | $0.550 | $455.64 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "trans" during Michigan rally on October 25?No | buy | 1.78K | $0.080 | $142 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "women's sports" during Michigan rally on October 25?No | buy | 703.91 | $0.099 | $69.51 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?Yes | sell | 4.96K | $0.009 | $44.65 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.301 | $300.64 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?Yes | buy | 3.79K | $0.090 | $340.75 | Oct 25, 2024 |