Analytics
Resolved Yes on 26 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 57.5%. Yes opened at 64% on 25 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2024 to 26 Oct 2024, the highest close was 64% on 25 Oct 2024 and the lowest 57.5% on 26 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 57.5% on 26 Oct 2024. $8.53K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 4:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 25 Oct 2024 – 26 Oct 2024, chart shows 55%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2024 | 64.0% |
| 26 Oct 2024 | 57.5% |
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Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 25 in Traverse City, Michigan (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-traverse-city-michigan). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Wall Street" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 25, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-michigan-rally-oct-25
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