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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.92 | $0.045 | $0.02 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 69 | $0.650 | $44.85 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 69 |
| $0.650 |
| $44.85 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 21 | $0.870 | $18.27 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 88 | $0.460 | $40.48 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 106 | $0.530 | $56.18 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 106 | $0.510 | $54.06 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 156 | $0.240 | $37.44 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 166 | $0.240 | $39.84 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 83 | $0.250 | $20.75 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.330 | $27.39 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 46 | $0.170 | $7.82 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.170 | $28.9 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 51 | $0.937 | $47.79 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.935 | $47.69 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 63 | $0.963 | $60.67 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 63 | $0.963 | $60.67 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.290 | $3.77 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 61 | $0.370 | $22.57 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.370 | $27.38 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.139 | $12.51 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.142 | $12.78 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 86 | $0.030 | $2.58 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.050 | $4.3 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 62 | $0.933 | $57.85 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.048 | $3.55 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 74.92 | $0.045 | $3.37 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 98 | $0.187 | $18.33 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 98 | $0.198 | $19.4 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 129 | $0.500 | $64.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 129 | $0.500 | $64.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.810 | $28.35 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 70 | $0.778 | $54.46 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?No | sell | 3 | $0.994 | $2.98 | May 27, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 65 | $0.510 | $33.15 | May 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 84 | $0.350 | $29.4 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 3 | $0.958 | $2.87 | May 23, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 37 | $0.480 | $17.76 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.750 | $29.25 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 34 | $0.961 | $32.67 | May 21, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.410 | $15.99 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 39 | $0.942 | $36.74 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.985 | $35.46 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 38 | $0.960 | $36.48 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 27.73 | $0.190 | $5.27 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.150 | $6.75 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?No | sell | 3 | $0.986 | $2.96 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 4 | $0.985 | $3.94 | May 18, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.957 | $25.84 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | sell | 26 | $0.966 | $25.12 | May 15, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.947 | $25.57 | May 14, 2026 |