Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 38.05 | $0.190 | $7.23 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 12.5 |
| $0.035 |
| $0.44 |
| Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.75 | $0.006 | $0.11 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.210 | $3 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil"?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Brazilian president Lula announce re-election run by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?Yes | buy | 267.27 | $0.004 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Brazil win on 2025-09-09?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will Chile win on 2025-09-04?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin shake hands for less than 2 seconds?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin hug on Friday?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 194.52 | $0.026 | $5 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or UAE?Yes | sell | 850.58 | $0.010 | $8.51 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or UAE?Yes | buy | 850.58 | $0.012 | $10 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump attend Hulk Hogan's funeral?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31?Yes | sell | 55.85 | $0.999 | $55.79 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.010 | $0.59 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?Yes | sell | 97.22 | $0.044 | $4.3 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31?Yes | buy | 55.85 | $0.179 | $10 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump attend Hulk Hogan's funeral?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 316.27 | $0.140 | $44.28 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.230 | $20 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.900 | $28.13 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 996.38 | $0.012 | $12 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Fed" or "Powell" during the crypto bill signing ceremony on July 18?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.340 | $4 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" during the crypto bill signing ceremony on July 18?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?Yes | sell | 19.11 | $0.995 | $19.01 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 39.26 | $0.066 | $2.58 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| 50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.360 | $20 | Jul 14, 2025 |