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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 91.79 | $0.999 | $91.7 | Jul 15, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 19.08 |
| $0.996 |
| $19 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.999 | $1.5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.999 | $9 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 50.05 | $0.999 | $50 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 50.05 | $0.999 | $50 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 103.12 | $0.994 | $102.5 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.998 | $1.98 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.998 | $1.36 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.998 | $1.1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?No | buy | 101.4 | $0.999 | $101.3 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?No | buy | 11.01 | $0.999 | $11 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?No | buy | 44.04 | $0.999 | $44 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.999 | $1.8 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.999 | $1.6 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.961 | $3 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.995 | $6 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.996 | $1.6 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No | buy | 45.09 | $0.998 | $45 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.988 | $3 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.992 | $3 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Amazon be the most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Oracle be the most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?No | buy | 25.08 | $0.997 | $25 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.996 | $12 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 21.49 | $0.977 | $21 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 10.12 | $0.988 | $10 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?No | buy | 35.07 | $0.998 | $35 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Jumper airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.934 | $1.5 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2300 on July 11?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in July?No | buy | 15.05 | $0.997 | $15 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?No | buy | 40.12 | $0.997 | $40 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May?No | buy | 45.05 | $0.999 | $45 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?No | buy | 60.12 | $0.998 | $60 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in April?No | buy | 100.3 | $0.997 | $100 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.988 | $2 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?No | buy | 75.15 | $0.998 | $75 | Mar 16, 2025 |
 Will Solana hit $300 in March?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Mar 16, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Mar 16, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $6000 by February 28 2025?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Feb 15, 2025 |