Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.039 | $195 | Feb 27, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 5K |
| $0.044 |
| $220 |
| Feb 27, 2026 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?Yes | buy | 187.96 | $0.059 | $11 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?Yes | buy | 211.77 | $0.054 | $11.42 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?Yes | buy | 416.85 | $0.047 | $19.57 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Yes | buy | 239 | $0.175 | $41.86 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Yes | buy | 166 | $0.160 | $26.56 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.12K | $0.127 | $396.31 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.76K | $0.106 | $398.63 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.035 | $38.19 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 178.98 | $0.012 | $2.17 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 8.27K | $0.018 | $148.13 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 3.19K | $0.016 | $51.57 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 105.67 | $0.013 | $1.41 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 118.98 | $0.015 | $1.77 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 9.21 | $0.014 | $0.13 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 334.99 | $0.014 | $4.67 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 6.38K | $0.016 | $100.71 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 5.95K | $0.025 | $147.96 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 9.19K | $0.018 | $165.49 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 13.22K | $0.015 | $203.13 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 14.59K | $0.012 | $173.51 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.61K | $0.012 | $19.75 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 8.11K | $0.019 | $153.27 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 420.53 | $0.012 | $4.9 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 551.3 | $0.011 | $6.28 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 879.81 | $0.015 | $12.88 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.015 | $16.37 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 3.93K | $0.013 | $50.12 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 9.3K | $0.013 | $117.01 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.012 | $13.94 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 11.05K | $0.014 | $151.24 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 17.7K | $0.013 | $233.37 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.52K | $0.047 | $403.35 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.38K | $0.036 | $85.56 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by September 30?Yes | buy | 615 | $0.035 | $21.35 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by September 30?Yes | buy | 475 | $0.025 | $11.88 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.13K | $0.030 | $63.99 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.061 | $609.99 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 18.58K | $0.055 | $1.02K | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.090 | $895.89 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?Yes | buy | 488.23 | $0.100 | $48.82 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before September?Yes | buy | 487.11 | $0.126 | $61.4 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.28K | $0.119 | $508.68 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before September?Yes | buy | 19.51K | $0.079 | $1.55K | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation before October?Yes | buy | 4.6K | $0.042 | $193.1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.96K | $0.087 | $170.18 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 9K | $0.016 | $144 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 60K | $0.048 | $2.91K | Jul 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 43.33K | $0.044 | $1.92K | Jul 28, 2025 |