Latest trade
Oct 13, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:09 PM UTC.
XFHMFH is down $21.1 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 13, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:09 PM UTC.
$54.88 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 50 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Oct 27, 2025 UTC to Oct 13, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 11.41 | $0.999 | $11.41 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 11.41 | $0.999 | $11.4 | 11d ago |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 10:39 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 12:09 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 12:09 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-30 18:26 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $9.97 and losing ones cost $2.82 across the latest 50 settled positions. 96% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.55 on “Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on March 31?” (No); the largest loss, $1.62 on “Will Elon tweet 650 or more times March 21-28?” (Yes).
It first traded on 22 Mar 2025 and most recently on 13 Oct 2026. It has traded 73 markets. Its open positions are worth $11.41 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
MODUS Super Series: Jim McEwan vs Sander van Ockenburg-ZwaanJim McEwan| buy |
| 2 |
| $0.750 |
| $1.5 |
| 11d ago |
Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 12.91 | $0.999 | $12.9 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.893 | $1.79 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 14.61 | $0.999 | $14.6 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No | buy | 14.61 | $0.999 | $14.6 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 10?No | buy | 55.66 | $0.999 | $55.6 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.999 | $55.5 | May 31, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.999 | $55.5 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 55.46 | $0.999 | $55.4 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?No | buy | 55.46 | $0.999 | $55.4 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 55.06 | $0.999 | $55 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 55.06 | $0.999 | $55 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No | buy | 55.26 | $0.999 | $55.2 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 55.27 | $0.999 | $55.21 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 23?Yes | buy | 55.2 | $0.999 | $55.14 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?No | buy | 15.11 | $0.999 | $15.1 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 40.04 | $0.999 | $40 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No | buy | 55.1 | $0.999 | $55.04 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | buy | 55.05 | $0.999 | $54.99 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 28?No | buy | 54.99 | $0.999 | $54.94 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 54.94 | $0.998 | $54.83 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 13?No | buy | 54.82 | $0.999 | $54.77 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 6?No | buy | 54.77 | $0.999 | $54.72 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 6?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 2?No | buy | 56.12 | $0.999 | $56.06 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 56.07 | $0.999 | $56.01 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?No | buy | 56.01 | $0.999 | $55.95 | Feb 5, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No | buy | 13.97 | $0.895 | $12.5 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Spread: Rams (-3.5)Rams | buy | 40.81 | $0.520 | $21.22 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 18?No | buy | 12.57 | $0.955 | $12 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 12?Yes | buy | 75.14 | $0.999 | $75.06 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 12?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No | buy | 76.47 | $0.999 | $76.39 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 5?Yes | buy | 457.7 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 76.3 | $0.999 | $76.22 | Dec 31, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on December 21?No | buy | 76.22 | $0.999 | $76.14 | Dec 21, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on December 14?No | buy | 76.14 | $0.999 | $76.06 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?No | buy | 76.07 | $0.999 | $75.99 | Dec 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 30?Yes | buy | 75.99 | $0.999 | $75.91 | Nov 30, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No | buy | 75.92 | $0.999 | $75.84 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 20?No | buy | 75.84 | $0.999 | $75.76 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 24.02 | $0.999 | $24 | Nov 7, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Nov 7, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 24.05 | $0.998 | $24 | Nov 2, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Nov 2, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No | buy | 28.27 | $0.990 | $28 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.