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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.91 | $0.047 | $0.02 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 41.29 | $0.650 | $26.84 | Jun 25, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.660 |
| $33 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.150 | $11.1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.150 | $7.5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.029 | $1.19 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.220 | $3.3 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.260 | $21.32 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 42 | $0.860 | $36.12 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 36 | $0.930 | $33.48 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 36 | $0.920 | $33.12 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 39 | $0.830 | $32.37 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.885 | $36.29 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.920 | $33.12 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.885 | $32.75 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 23 | $0.730 | $16.79 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.720 | $16.56 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.944 | $35.87 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.945 | $35.91 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 28.14 | $0.067 | $1.89 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.066 | $4.75 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.047 | $3.15 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 34 | $0.953 | $32.4 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.500 | $12.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.500 | $12.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 59 | $0.550 | $32.45 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 34 | $0.957 | $32.54 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 34 | $0.956 | $32.5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.540 | $1.62 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.300 | $10.5 | May 30, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.300 | $12.6 | May 30, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.490 | $19.11 | May 30, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.986 | $32.54 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 71 | $0.220 | $15.62 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.180 | $12.78 | May 29, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.570 | $6.84 | May 28, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.580 | $8.7 | May 28, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.959 | $31.65 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.042 | $1.3 | May 27, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.979 | $1.43 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 13 | $0.994 | $12.92 | Jun 6, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 140–154 times May 30–June 6?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.990 | $1.7 | Jun 2, 2025 |
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.990 | $1.5 | May 11, 2025 |
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.983 | $1.99 | Apr 27, 2025 |
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 94.44 | $0.018 | $1.7 | Apr 27, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?No | sell | 16 | $0.986 | $15.78 | Apr 15, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?No | buy | 16 | $0.982 | $15.71 | Apr 15, 2025 |
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 16 | $0.975 | $15.6 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 16 | $0.975 | $15.6 | Apr 12, 2025 |
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 16 | $0.994 | $15.9 | Apr 12, 2025 |
Will Trump impose tariffs on Colombia in the first 100 days?No | sell | 16 | $0.965 | $15.44 | Apr 11, 2025 |