Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 135.52 | $0.970 | $134.91 | +$3.46 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?Yes | buy | 62.38 | $0.767 | $47.84 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 184.57 |
| $0.240 |
| $44.3 |
| Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 135.52 | $0.970 | $131.45 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.979 | $29.38 | May 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.740 | $66.6 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.870 | $43.5 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 74.5 | $0.983 | $73.23 | May 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 184.57 | $0.542 | $100 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 166.91 | $0.910 | $151.89 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 20.08 | $0.211 | $4.24 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4?Up | buy | 12.45 | $0.970 | $12.08 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 4?No | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 6?No | sell | 112.42 | $0.997 | $112.08 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 6?No | buy | 112.42 | $0.982 | $110.4 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 166.92 | $0.599 | $100 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will MongoDB (MDB) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 10.33 | $0.968 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 20.09 | $0.460 | $9.24 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.962 | $19.24 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 94.51 | $0.963 | $91.01 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 91.01 | $0.870 | $79.18 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Solana reach $150 in January?No | sell | 79.34 | $0.998 | $79.18 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Solana reach $150 in January?No | buy | 0.79 | $0.972 | $0.77 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.880 | $52.8 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.7 | $0.982 | $20.33 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 21.05 | $0.966 | $20.33 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 49.34 | $0.963 | $47.51 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 182.45 | $0.370 | $67.51 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 182.45 | $0.815 | $148.61 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 149.36 | $0.995 | $148.61 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 120.04 | $0.830 | $99.63 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 29.33 | $0.830 | $24.34 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Solana hit $260 in December?Yes | sell | 849.86 | $0.051 | $43.1 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Yes | sell | 609.91 | $0.621 | $378.61 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Yes | buy | 609.92 | $0.698 | $425.54 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?Yes | sell | 631.19 | $0.661 | $417.48 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Assad leaves Syria before 2025?Yes | buy | 8.05 | $0.750 | $6.04 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?Yes | sell | 548.38 | $0.011 | $6.03 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?Yes | buy | 548.39 | $0.930 | $510 | Dec 5, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.850 | $510 | Dec 5, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.409 | $503.12 | Dec 4, 2024 |
| Will Solana hit $260 in December?Yes | buy | 746 | $0.500 | $373 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?No | buy | 900 | $0.870 | $783 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?Yes | sell | 284.53 | $0.543 | $154.61 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?Yes | sell | 84.63 | $0.550 | $46.55 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?Yes | sell | 909.6 | $0.550 | $500.28 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.940 | $1.29K | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?Yes | sell | 191.92 | $0.670 | $128.59 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.760 | $806.85 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?Yes | buy | 191.92 | $0.620 | $118.99 | Nov 16, 2024 |