Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 1.61 | $0.620 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 2.86 |
| $0.350 |
| $0.27 |
| -$0.73 |
| buy |
| 1.61 |
| $0.620 |
| $1 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.039 | $1.95 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.039 | $1.95 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on July 8?Up | sell | 55.55 | $0.034 | $1.89 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 8?Up | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $48,000 on July 7?No | buy | 4K | $0.001 | $4 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 710 | $0.013 | $9.23 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 285 | $0.034 | $9.69 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.275 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit 20250 (LOW) in March?Yes | buy | 117.05 | $0.043 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit 20400 (LOW) in March?Yes | buy | 100.2 | $0.050 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?Yes | buy | 33.67 | $0.149 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?Yes | buy | 32.5 | $0.154 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Crude Oil all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 154.88 | $0.032 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in March 2026?Yes | buy | 15.61 | $0.320 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $60-$65 in March?Yes | buy | 477.36 | $0.010 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$60 in March?Yes | buy | 489.54 | $0.010 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 363.63 | $0.014 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 212.77 | $0.047 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.018 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 70.68 | $0.071 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |