Latest trade
Aug 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 28, 7:01 AM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
ThesisThinker is down $4.15K on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-05 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
Aug 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 28, 7:01 AM UTC.
$5.47 median trade
Its latest 21 trades covered 16 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Nov 16, 2025 UTC to Aug 5, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 XRP Up or Down - August 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 21 | $0.500 | $10.5 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-05 07:24 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-28 07:01 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
21 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-28 07:01 UTC
polymarket positions
8 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-05 07:24 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
100% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $547 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 2PM ET” (Down).
Its most recent trade on record was on 5 Aug 2026. It has traded 16 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 10.93 |
| $0.500 |
| $5.47 |
| Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
 Ethereum Up or Down - July 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 10.67 | $0.500 | $5.34 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 1.5 | $0.500 | $0.75 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 1.6 | $0.500 | $0.8 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 6.3 | $0.500 | $3.15 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 1.71 | $0.500 | $0.86 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 8.15 | $0.500 | $4.08 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
 Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays | buy | 7.4 | $0.540 | $4 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| American vs. National: O/U 7.5Under | buy | 6.6 | $0.480 | $3.17 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
 Fery vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Under | buy | 1.2 | $0.520 | $0.62 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Fery vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Under | buy | 5.4 | $0.520 | $2.81 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETUp | buy | 3.67K | $0.500 | $1.83K | Nov 17, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 4PM ETUp | buy | 5.34K | $0.500 | $2.67K | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 3PM ETUp | buy | 423 | $0.500 | $211.5 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 2PM ETDown | buy | 1.09K | $0.500 | $547 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 1PM ETUp | buy | 379 | $0.500 | $189.5 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 12PM ETUp | buy | 317 | $0.500 | $158.5 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 11AM ETUp | buy | 84 | $0.500 | $42 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 11AM ETUp | buy | 252 | $0.500 | $126 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 10AM ETUp | buy | 403 | $0.500 | $201.5 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed 1m ago. Watch only — not advice.