Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 64.33 | $0.059 | $3.8 | May 21, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 544.69 |
| $0.007 |
| $3.81 |
| May 21, 2026 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes | buy | 105.1 | $0.010 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETUp | buy | 13.18 | $0.379 | $5 | May 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETUp | buy | 69.32 | $0.361 | $25 | May 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETUp | buy | 849.64 | $0.029 | $25 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?No | sell | 246.16 | $0.245 | $60.43 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?No | buy | 246.17 | $0.397 | $97.77 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 73.98 | $0.027 | $2 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | sell | 106.38 | $0.965 | $102.64 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 212.86 | $0.103 | $22 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.470 | $50 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 284 | $0.352 | $100 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No | sell | 198.65 | $0.891 | $177.01 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No | buy | 198.65 | $0.430 | $85.42 | May 13, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.13K | $0.081 | $91.3 | May 13, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 621.38 | $0.087 | $54.06 | May 11, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Yes | sell | 599.91 | $0.068 | $40.67 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes | sell | 183.66 | $0.090 | $16.46 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 376.48 | $0.001 | $0.38 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes | buy | 183.67 | $0.109 | $20 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 867.82 | $0.024 | $20.53 | May 11, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 505.83 | $0.075 | $38.1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?No | sell | 741.04 | $0.048 | $35.87 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.030 | $4.29 | May 11, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Yes | buy | 87.5 | $0.080 | $7 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 979.03 | $0.007 | $6.85 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.014 | $2 | May 11, 2026 |
 Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?Yes | sell | 197.45 | $0.010 | $1.97 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 162.37 | $0.025 | $4 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?No | buy | 65.22 | $0.460 | $30 | May 10, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 311.85 | $0.110 | $34.3 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.360 | $9 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 92.59 | $0.270 | $25 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 112.47 | $0.300 | $33.74 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes | buy | 190.94 | $0.016 | $3 | May 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.240 | $12.6 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
| Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?Yes | buy | 197.45 | $0.101 | $20 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 37.48 | $0.338 | $12.68 | May 5, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.160 | $8 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 300.82 | $0.016 | $4.8 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.314 | $12.54 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?No | buy | 193.64 | $0.351 | $68 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 189.94 | $0.356 | $67.54 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 335.52 | $0.018 | $6 | May 5, 2026 |