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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.999 | $1.25 | May 4, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.03 |
| $0.983 |
| $2 |
| May 4, 2026 |
 DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 8?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.688 | $1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Gay" during Fox interview on Wednesday?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "N Word" in April?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No | buy | 3.1 | $0.968 | $3 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 1.43 | $0.680 | $0.97 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.900 | $0.98 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No | buy | 4.21 | $0.951 | $4 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.900 | $0.98 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.945 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | buy | 11 | $0.839 | $9.23 | Mar 16, 2026 |