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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.730 | $1.09 | Apr 25, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.49 |
| $0.740 |
| $1.1 |
| Apr 20, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No | sell | 1.86 | $0.704 | $1.31 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.591 | $1.1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k | sell | 2.15 | $0.660 | $1.42 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k | buy | 2.16 | $0.510 | $1.1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.740 | $1.12 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.730 | $1.1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 1.64 | $0.820 | $1.34 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.670 | $1.1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.69 | $0.660 | $1.12 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 3.37 | $0.680 | $2.29 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.650 | $1.1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.630 | $1.1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.680 | $1.1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.77 | $0.580 | $1.03 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.620 | $1.1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 2.2 | $0.561 | $1.23 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.500 | $1.1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | sell | 1.59 | $0.680 | $1.08 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.690 | $1.1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.740 | $1.1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.670 | $1.08 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | sell | 1.92 | $0.570 | $1.09 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.680 | $1.1 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.570 | $1.1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | sell | 1.6 | $0.680 | $1.09 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.690 | $1.1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | sell | 1.54 | $0.690 | $1.06 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.710 | $1.1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 2 | $0.700 | $1.4 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.550 | $1.1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.74 | $0.720 | $1.25 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 2.2 | $0.590 | $1.3 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.500 | $1.1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.630 | $1.1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.480 | $1.02 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.520 | $1.1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 2.44 | $0.510 | $1.24 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.450 | $1.1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 2.29 | $0.460 | $1.05 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.29 | $0.480 | $1.1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.97 | $0.570 | $1.12 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Pacers vs. JazzJazz | buy | 2.2 | $0.500 | $1.1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.560 | $1.1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?No | sell | 2.75 | $0.440 | $1.21 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?No | buy | 2.75 | $0.400 | $1.1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.96 | $0.540 | $1.06 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.560 | $1.1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Mariners vs. Blue JaysBlue Jays | buy | 2.04 | $0.540 | $1.1 | Oct 20, 2025 |