Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.401 | $20.05 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 32 |
| $0.590 |
| $18.88 |
| Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 49 | $0.054 | $2.65 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.068 | $3.74 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.086 | $4.3 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.091 | $4.55 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.114 | $3.76 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.153 | $3.82 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.155 | $4.96 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.230 | $4.6 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.033 | $2.12 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.220 | $3.3 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.050 | $1.25 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 24 | $0.520 | $12.48 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.101 | $9.12 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.040 | $1.4 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.170 | $10.2 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.210 | $6.3 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.240 | $6 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.160 | $10.4 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes | sell | 7.9 | $0.180 | $1.42 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.500 | $3.75 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.610 | $9.15 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.490 | $7.35 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.070 | $4.9 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?Yes | sell | 150.18 | $0.011 | $1.64 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.690 | $22.08 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Bryan Johnson say "Don’t Die" while tripping balls?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.938 | $37.5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Bryan Johnson say "Don’t Die" while tripping balls?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.820 | $32.8 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.2 | $0.033 | $0.2 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?Yes | sell | 107.95 | $0.045 | $4.9 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.997 | $28.91 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 24 | $0.880 | $21.12 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.720 | $20.88 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.730 | $42.34 | May 3, 2025 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.120 | $3.43 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Milei out as President of Argentina before July?No | sell | 13 | $0.963 | $12.51 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.700 | $24.5 | Mar 8, 2025 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?Yes | buy | 233.24 | $0.214 | $50 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.770 | $39.27 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.724 | $36.92 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.750 | $45 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.420 | $21 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?Yes | sell | 312.49 | $0.210 | $65.62 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?Yes | buy | 102.5 | $0.195 | $20 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.24 | $0.230 | $3.28 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.230 | $11.5 | Feb 12, 2025 |