Latest trade
May 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 9:35 PM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 16 settled positions.
Incomplete-Pathogenesis is down $27.59 on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2026-05-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
May 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 9:35 PM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 49 trades covered 24 markets; 77.6% were buys. They run from Jan 28, 2026 UTC to May 15, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETUp | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-05-15 10:48 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 21:35 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
49 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 21:35 UTC
polymarket positions
17 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-15 10:48 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $243.12 and losing ones cost $112.85 across 16 settled positions. 43.8% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $121.63 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET” (Up); the largest loss, $39.41 on “S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 29?” (Up).
Its most recent trade on record was on 15 May 2026. It has traded 24 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 5.95 |
| $0.840 |
| $5 |
| May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETDown | sell | 5.2 | $0.990 | $5.15 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETDown | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETUp | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETDown | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETDown | sell | 10.41 | $0.960 | $9.99 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETDown | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETUp | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETDown | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETDown | sell | 25.42 | $0.250 | $6.36 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETDown | buy | 25.43 | $0.197 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETUp | buy | 20.3 | $0.493 | $10 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETDown | sell | 17.71 | $0.250 | $4.43 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETDown | buy | 17.71 | $0.282 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETDown | buy | 43.33 | $0.115 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETUp | buy | 31.18 | $0.160 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETUp | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETUp | buy | 32.5 | $0.154 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETUp | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETDown | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETDown | buy | 317.5 | $0.016 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETDown | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETUp | sell | 229.85 | $0.505 | $116.17 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETUp | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETUp | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?No | buy | 588.24 | $0.034 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 31?Yes | sell | 89.68 | $0.874 | $78.4 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 46.29 | $0.006 | $0.28 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 31?Yes | buy | 89.69 | $0.892 | $80 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 26-1?No | buy | 81.81 | $0.856 | $70.03 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?No | sell | 74.53 | $0.999 | $74.46 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 29?Up | sell | 61.95 | $0.044 | $2.72 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 29?No | sell | 72.93 | $0.999 | $72.86 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 29?Up | buy | 61.96 | $0.680 | $42.13 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?Up | sell | 44.77 | $0.941 | $42.13 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?Up | buy | 19.13 | $0.750 | $14.35 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?No | buy | 74.54 | $0.268 | $20 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?Up | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 46.3 | $0.540 | $25 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 29?No | buy | 72.93 | $0.274 | $20 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.