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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 790.75 | $0.840 | $691.91 | +$27.68 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 790.75 | $0.840 | $664.23 | 17d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 851.66 |
| $0.780 |
| $664.29 |
| 17d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 1.33K | $0.996 | $1.32K | 25d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 222.42 | $0.930 | $206.85 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 475.23 | $0.560 | $266.13 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 254.54 | $0.880 | $224 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Yes | buy | 282.51 | $0.991 | $279.97 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.963 | $1.35K | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes | buy | 145.78 | $0.998 | $145.49 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?Yes | buy | 71.61 | $0.966 | $69.18 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 69.78 | $0.949 | $66.22 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 73.19 | $0.904 | $66.16 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No | buy | 34.61 | $0.957 | $33.12 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 165.79 | $0.999 | $165.62 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 165.68 | $0.947 | $156.9 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 69 | $0.908 | $62.65 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 63.82 | $0.680 | $43.4 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 134.62 | $0.320 | $43.08 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | sell | 131.68 | $0.460 | $60.57 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 131.68 | $0.920 | $121.15 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 121.09 | $0.880 | $106.56 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?No | buy | 213.01 | $0.999 | $212.8 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 193.66 | $0.999 | $193.47 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?No | buy | 97.14 | $0.988 | $95.97 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 96.34 | $0.996 | $95.95 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 129.65 | $0.995 | $129 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes | buy | 128.75 | $0.998 | $128.49 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 256.05 | $0.992 | $254 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?No | buy | 122.37 | $0.997 | $122 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?No | buy | 125 | $0.995 | $124.38 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 246.49 | $0.998 | $246 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No | sell | 146.5 | $0.999 | $146.35 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.983 | $98.3 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.956 | $95.6 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?Yes | buy | 189.78 | $0.753 | $142.86 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 18?No | buy | 10.35 | $0.988 | $10.23 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 18?No | buy | 71 | $0.979 | $69.51 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 18?No | buy | 62.66 | $0.978 | $61.28 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | buy | 98.98 | $0.988 | $97.79 | Jun 30, 2025 |