Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.920 | $969.5 | +$49.5 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | 4m ago |
|
| No |
| 1K |
| $0.940 |
| $965.5 |
| +$25.5 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 186.64 | $0.820 | $176.37 | +$23.33 |
 Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena) | No | 45.84 | $0.791 | $40.13 | +$3.88 |
 Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30? | Yes | 46.64 | $0.580 | $37.55 | +$10.49 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 119.82 | $0.249 | $33.85 | +$4.01 |
 Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | No | 51.3 | $0.547 | $31.55 | +$3.48 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | No | 44.9 | $0.510 | $22.23 | -$0.67 |
 Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 69.79 | $0.182 | $20.55 | +$7.83 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 24.61 | $0.290 | $15.38 | +$8.24 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher? | No | 15.74 | $0.830 | $13.38 | +$0.31 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 12.9 | $0.771 | $11.48 | +$1.54 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.04 | $0.540 | $9.94 | +$1.28 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 13.16 | $0.650 | $8.36 | -$0.2 |
 Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 21.43 | $0.200 | $7.82 | +$3.54 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 8.97 | $0.515 | $7.8 | +$3.18 |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026? | Yes | 35.02 | $0.220 | $6.83 | -$0.88 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026? | Yes | 20.35 | $0.166 | $5.61 | +$2.23 |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 13.63 | $0.240 | $5.52 | +$2.25 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 93.54 | $0.078 | $5.47 | -$1.82 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | Up | 5 | $0.450 | $4.98 | +$2.73 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? | Yes | 5.01 | $0.883 | $4.73 | +$0.31 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.680 | $4.73 | +$1.33 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.920 | $4.28 | -$0.33 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | No | 5 | $0.880 | $4.2 | -$0.2 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.500 |
| $2.5 |
| 39m ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | 45m ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | 1h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | 2h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | 2h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | 2h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | 3h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | 3h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | 4h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | 4h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | 4h ago |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?No | buy | 5.3 | $0.460 | $2.44 | 5h ago |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?No | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | 5h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | 5h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | 5h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | 5h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | 5h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | 6h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | 6h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | 6h ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | sell | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | 6h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | 6h ago |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 119.82 | $0.249 | $29.84 | 6h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | 7h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 7h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | 7h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | 7h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | 7h ago |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?Yes | buy | 46.64 | $0.580 | $27.05 | 8h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | 8h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | 8h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | 9h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | 9h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | 11h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | 11h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | 11h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | 11h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | 12h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | 13h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | 13h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | 13h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | 13h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | 14h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | 14h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | 15h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | 15h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | 15h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | 15h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | 15h ago |