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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Yes | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1.7 | +$0.7 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | 3m ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.89 |
| $0.530 |
| $1.55 |
| +$0.55 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1.44 | +$0.44 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1.43 | +$0.43 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026? | No | 1.49 | $0.670 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $0.85 | -$0.15 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $0.83 | -$0.17 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | No | 1.33 | $0.750 | $0.74 | -$0.26 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.45 | -$0.55 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | Yes | 1.35 | $0.740 | $0 | -$1 |
| buy |
| 4.76 |
| $0.210 |
| $1 |
| 9h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | 5d ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | 9d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | 11d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | 12d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | 12d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.48 | $0.287 | $1 | 15d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | 15d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | 15d ago |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 17d ago |
 Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | 18d ago |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | 23d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 23d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 23d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | 24d ago |
 Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | 24d ago |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | 25d ago |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | 28d ago |
 Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 3%-4.5%?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 29d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | 29d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on August 12?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?No | buy | 2.79 | $0.670 | $1.87 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.4 | $0.450 | $1.53 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.770 | $1.95 | Jul 23, 2026 |