Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 173.48 | $0.980 | $170 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 145.08 |
| $0.965 |
| $140 |
| Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?No | buy | 123.61 | $0.987 | $122 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | buy | 171.2 | $0.993 | $170 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?No | buy | 123.2 | $0.974 | $120 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by July 31?No | buy | 141.27 | $0.991 | $140 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsHanwha Life Esports | buy | 171.95 | $0.977 | $168 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 183.1 | $0.994 | $182 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | sell | 170 | $0.998 | $169.66 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | buy | 278.51 | $0.991 | $276 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 131.88 | $0.986 | $130 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No | buy | 161.29 | $0.992 | $160 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 261.57 | $0.994 | $260 | May 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 178.95 | $0.950 | $170 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?No | buy | 227.28 | $0.968 | $220 | May 3, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No | buy | 235.67 | $0.942 | $222 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 7-13?Yes | buy | 237.08 | $0.985 | $233.49 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?No | buy | 157.41 | $0.985 | $155 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?Yes | buy | 377.51 | $0.996 | $376 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 244.09 | $0.942 | $230 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8?No | buy | 124.74 | $0.922 | $115 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 218.57 | $0.352 | $76.92 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 218.58 | $0.915 | $200 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 167 | $0.994 | $166 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No | buy | 111.9 | $0.992 | $111 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 101.73 | $0.983 | $100 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No | buy | 182.09 | $0.994 | $181 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Trail Blazers vs. WarriorsWarriors | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will BNB reach $1200 in January?No | buy | 190.27 | $0.946 | $180 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?No | buy | 464.18 | $0.991 | $460 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | buy | 220.44 | $0.998 | $220 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of December 1 above $200?Yes | buy | 234.3 | $0.994 | $233 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 449 | $0.947 | $425 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No | buy | 260.52 | $0.998 | $260 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 4?No | buy | 167 | $0.994 | $166 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 325.15 | $0.978 | $318 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October?No | sell | 90 | $0.982 | $88.38 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 21?Yes | buy | 238.72 | $0.997 | $238 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October?No | buy | 182.93 | $0.984 | $180 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will 'CANCELLED!' be the highest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?No | buy | 50.1 | $0.998 | $50 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Solana reach 240 September 1–7?No | buy | 63.38 | $0.994 | $63 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 600 or more times September 5–12?No | buy | 160.8 | $0.995 | $160 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 61.48 | $0.976 | $60 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Solana above $170 on August 20?Yes | buy | 165.5 | $0.997 | $165 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 226.36 | $0.994 | $225 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on July 11?No | buy | 222.22 | $0.999 | $222 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 XRP above $2.10 on July 4?Yes | buy | 215.5 | $0.974 | $210 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 OpenSea airdrop before July?No | buy | 160.49 | $0.997 | $160 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 63.06 | $0.999 | $63 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 16?Up | buy | 140.28 | $0.998 | $140 | Jun 16, 2025 |