Latest trade
Jun 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:36 AM UTC.
Analytics
Shabby-Replication is down $196.53 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-06-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:36 AM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 39 markets; 62.0% were buys. They run from Jan 12, 2026 UTC to Jun 22, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-06-22 07:22 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 08:36 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 08:36 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-06-22 07:22 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $91.18 and losing ones cost $90.2 across the latest 50 settled positions. 54% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $15.83 on “49ers vs. Eagles” (49ers); the largest loss, $16.17 on “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 22 Jun 2026. It has traded 66 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 425.53 |
| $0.019 |
| $8.09 |
| Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 91.87 | $0.007 | $0.64 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 23.65 | $0.060 | $1.42 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 42.55 | $0.090 | $3.83 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.063 | $0.45 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.208 | $7.7 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 425.53 | $0.047 | $20 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
 Spread: Heat (-6.5)Heat | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Bills vs. BroncosBills | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Flames vs. BlackhawksBlackhawks | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Canucks vs. Blue JacketsCanucks | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs M80 (BO3)Gentle Mates | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Flames vs. BlackhawksFlames | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-04?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Spread: BYU Cougars (-12.5)BYU Cougars | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)Karmine Corp Blue | sell | 5 | $0.110 | $0.55 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Karmine Corp (BO1)Karmine Corp Blue | sell | 5.52 | $0.219 | $1.21 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 9.23 | $0.340 | $3.14 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 23.66 | $0.211 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 91.87 | $0.054 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-01-16?Yes | buy | 13.15 | $0.380 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Richmond Spiders (-7.5)Richmond Spiders | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Charlotte 49ers: O/U 149.5Over | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| East Carolina Pirates vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 156.5Under | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?Yes | sell | 66.72 | $0.186 | $12.38 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 25.42 | $0.790 | $20.08 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.026 | $0.43 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.060 | $0.67 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
 Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 11?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.007 | $0.03 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Under | buy | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-13?No | sell | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-13?No | buy | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)FaZe | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Spurs vs. ThunderThunder | buy | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.470 | $20 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.560 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 37.85 | $0.210 | $7.95 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 29.1 | $0.103 | $3 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?Yes | buy | 11.17 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
 Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.