Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 44.44 | $0.090 | $1.13 | -$2.87 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 526.31 | $0.270 | $142.1 | May 26, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 526.32 |
| $0.190 |
| $100 |
| May 11, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.090 | $4 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?Yes | buy | 104.7 | $0.936 | $98 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on May 5?Yes | buy | 98.29 | $0.997 | $98 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Denver be 56°F or higher on May 2?Yes | sell | 98.39 | $0.993 | $97.7 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 56°F or higher on May 2?Yes | buy | 98.39 | $0.996 | $98 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on April 30?No | buy | 98.2 | $0.998 | $98 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 29?Yes | buy | 97.96 | $0.980 | $96 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?No | buy | 96.45 | $0.998 | $96.29 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 28?No | sell | 96.41 | $0.999 | $96.31 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 28?No | buy | 96.41 | $0.999 | $96.31 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on April 26?Yes | buy | 96.31 | $0.998 | $96.08 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 25?Yes | buy | 96.07 | $0.994 | $95.53 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on April 24?No | buy | 95.57 | $0.998 | $95.38 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on April 23?Yes | buy | 95.37 | $0.996 | $94.99 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on April 22?No | buy | 34.91 | $0.998 | $34.84 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 22?No | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 22?No | buy | 30.08 | $0.997 | $29.99 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on April 21?No | buy | 25.78 | $0.999 | $25.76 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on April 21?Yes | buy | 24.02 | $0.999 | $24 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on April 21?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on April 21?Yes | buy | 291.31 | $0.003 | $0.9 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on April 21?Yes | buy | 25.02 | $0.999 | $25 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.14K | $0.002 | $4.28 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 285.71 | $0.007 | $2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.003 | $2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | sell | 391.23 | $0.011 | $4.49 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | sell | 769.23 | $0.008 | $5.78 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 30.16K | $0.002 | $60.32 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 14K | $0.001 | $14 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 6K | $0.001 | $6 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 14K | $0.001 | $14 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?No | sell | 20.4 | $0.471 | $9.6 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 94.18 | $0.530 | $49.92 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.510 | $9.81 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.450 | $45 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 94.18 | $0.550 | $51.8 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.460 | $46 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 391.23 | $0.026 | $10 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | sell | 384.61 | $0.021 | $8.24 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 384.62 | $0.026 | $10 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | buy | 769.23 | $0.013 | $10 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | sell | 61.22 | $0.430 | $26.32 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes | sell | 59.98 | $0.440 | $26.39 | Apr 17, 2026 |