Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 139 | $0.910 | $128.99 | +$2.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 225 | $0.540 | $121.5 | Apr 11, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 32 |
| $0.591 |
| $31.73 |
| +$12.8 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.730 | $4.43 | +$0.78 |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 5 | $0.230 | $1.38 | +$0.23 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 1 | $0.630 | $0.87 | +$0.24 |
 Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2 | $0.200 | $0.1 | -$0.3 |
 Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 1 | $0.430 | $0.09 | -$0.35 |
 Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.88 | $0.630 | $0.05 | -$0.51 |
| sell |
| 984 |
| $0.530 |
| $521.52 |
| Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 1.21K | $0.540 | $652.86 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?No | sell | 895 | $0.730 | $653.35 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?No | buy | 895 | $0.740 | $662.3 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Melania say "First Lady" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?No | buy | 661 | $0.750 | $495.75 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | sell | 231 | $0.510 | $117.81 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | buy | 231 | $0.510 | $117.81 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-24?No | buy | 154 | $0.880 | $135.52 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | sell | 306 | $0.830 | $253.98 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | buy | 306 | $0.820 | $250.92 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 101 | $0.710 | $71.71 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 114 | $0.710 | $80.94 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 119 | $0.710 | $84.49 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.710 | $12.78 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 352 | $0.730 | $256.96 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Connor Storrie attend the Oscars?No | buy | 450 | $0.870 | $391.5 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?No | sell | 129 | $0.570 | $73.53 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will PUMP be the top performing crypto for the week of March 9?No | sell | 119 | $0.470 | $55.93 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will PUMP be the top performing crypto for the week of March 9?No | sell | 557 | $0.470 | $261.79 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will PUMP be the top performing crypto for the week of March 9?No | buy | 676 | $0.890 | $601.64 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5Under | buy | 1.06K | $0.480 | $510.24 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?No | sell | 345 | $0.640 | $220.8 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?No | sell | 92 | $0.640 | $58.88 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Starmer say "Military" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No | sell | 115 | $0.170 | $19.55 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Military" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No | sell | 241 | $0.170 | $40.97 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Military" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No | sell | 111 | $0.170 | $18.87 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?No | buy | 129 | $0.560 | $72.24 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?No | buy | 437 | $0.670 | $292.79 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Military" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No | buy | 467 | $0.330 | $154.11 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | buy | 633 | $0.999 | $632.37 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 67 | $0.810 | $54.27 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | sell | 380 | $0.710 | $269.8 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | buy | 380 | $0.730 | $277.4 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 67 | $0.820 | $54.94 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 304 | $0.520 | $158.08 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 304 | $0.590 | $179.36 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 1 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?Yes | buy | 181 | $0.021 | $3.8 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?No | sell | 321 | $0.984 | $315.86 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | sell | 88 | $0.973 | $85.62 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 231 | $0.790 | $182.49 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 57 | $0.600 | $34.2 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 57 | $0.630 | $35.91 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 112 | $0.790 | $88.48 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.440 | $2.64 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreNo | sell | 70 | $0.450 | $31.5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreNo | sell | 127 | $0.450 | $57.15 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?No | sell | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?No | sell | 48 | $0.170 | $8.16 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Yes | buy | 211 | $0.999 | $210.79 | Feb 13, 2026 |