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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | No | 780 | $0.913 | $744.51 | +$32.61 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?No | sell | 18.75 | $0.954 | $17.89 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 750 |
| $0.867 |
| $641.25 |
| -$8.75 |
 Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | No | 657.2 | $0.885 | $595.75 | +$14.05 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.846 | $480.75 | +$57.84 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 504.36 | $0.889 | $446.36 | -$2.18 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 441.8 | $0.863 | $437.82 | +$56.61 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 405.82 | $0.893 | $393.04 | +$30.55 |
 Yoon out of custody before 2027? | No | 335.35 | $0.857 | $311.37 | +$24.02 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 277.58 | $0.871 | $266.89 | +$25.2 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 250 | $0.963 | $247.63 | +$6.95 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 250 | $0.984 | $246.88 | +$0.99 |
| Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027? | No | 250 | $0.930 | $241.75 | +$9.25 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 245.17 | $0.938 | $229.23 | -$0.73 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 250 | $0.880 | $227.13 | +$7.13 |
 Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 215.77 | $0.940 | $214.26 | +$11.44 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 160.83 | $0.870 | $150.38 | +$10.45 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 127.64 | $0.923 | $123.36 | +$5.55 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 57.38 | $0.923 | $55.6 | +$2.64 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 62.74 | $0.930 | $54.9 | -$3.45 |
 Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027? | No | 58.97 | $0.853 | $53.96 | +$3.64 |
 Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | No | 56 | $0.940 | $50.68 | -$1.96 |
 Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026? | No | 45 | $0.964 | $43.38 | $0 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 250 | $0.670 | $33.75 | -$133.75 |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | No | 30.41 | $0.910 | $29.95 | +$2.28 |
| Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? | No | 23.56 | $0.928 | $22.98 | +$1.13 |
| sell |
| 6.99 |
| $0.972 |
| $6.79 |
| 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 6.87 | $0.840 | $5.77 | 3d ago |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 90.59 | $0.040 | $3.64 | 3d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 39.93 | $0.037 | $1.48 | 3d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 77.24 | $0.035 | $2.7 | 3d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 201.63 | $0.036 | $7.2 | 4d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.034 | $16.8 | 4d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 250 | $0.860 | $215 | 4d ago |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?No | sell | 109.22 | $0.950 | $103.79 | 4d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 500 | $0.870 | $435 | 5d ago |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?No | sell | 55.21 | $0.964 | $53.2 | 5d ago |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?No | sell | 54.89 | $0.963 | $52.88 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 24.32 | $0.890 | $21.64 | 6d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.890 | $8.9 | 6d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 463.17 | $0.890 | $412.22 | 6d ago |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?No | buy | 168.53 | $0.910 | $153.36 | 6d ago |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.915 | $228.72 | 6d ago |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.905 | $9.1 | 6d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 250 | $0.984 | $245.89 | 7d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.940 | $23.5 | 9d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.940 | $23.5 | 9d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | 9d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 78.57 | $0.940 | $73.86 | 9d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 153.83 | $0.998 | $153.52 | 10d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 153.76 | $0.998 | $153.45 | 10d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 34.99 | $0.990 | $34.64 | 10d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 32.73 | $0.989 | $32.37 | 10d ago |
 UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)Sumudaerji | buy | 37.5 | $0.987 | $37.01 | 11d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)Sumudaerji | buy | 25 | $0.987 | $24.68 | 11d ago |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in August?No | buy | 8 | $0.990 | $7.92 | 11d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.950 | $19.79 | 11d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | sell | 49.61 | $0.965 | $47.87 | 11d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | buy | 41.5 | $0.990 | $41.09 | 11d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | sell | 87.66 | $0.984 | $86.26 | 13d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 6.15 | $0.930 | $5.72 | 14d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | sell | 8.82 | $0.760 | $6.7 | 14d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.875 | $6.56 | 15d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.910 | $227.5 | 15d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | buy | 9.14 | $0.982 | $8.98 | 15d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | buy | 9.14 | $0.983 | $8.98 | 15d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | buy | 70.28 | $0.984 | $69.16 | 16d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No | sell | 41.7 | $0.930 | $38.78 | 16d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No | sell | 0.32 | $0.930 | $0.3 | 16d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | buy | 17.85 | $0.983 | $17.55 | 16d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | buy | 152.71 | $0.984 | $150.27 | 16d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No | sell | 4.77 | $0.930 | $4.44 | 16d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 25.45 | $0.981 | $24.97 | 16d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 8.22 | $0.981 | $8.06 | 16d ago |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 500 | $0.846 | $422.91 | 16d ago |