Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 545.01 | $0.990 | $539.56 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 240 |
| $0.818 |
| $196.25 |
| Oct 1, 2025 |
| 2025 September second hottest on record?No | buy | 400 | $0.709 | $283.5 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| 2025 September second hottest on record?No | buy | 1K | $0.508 | $508 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| 2025 September hottest on record?Yes | sell | 4.27K | $0.001 | $4.27 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in September 2025?Yes | sell | 1.6K | $0.008 | $12.82 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?No | buy | 2K | $0.678 | $1.36K | Sep 13, 2025 |
| 2025 September second hottest on record?No | buy | 3.5K | $0.878 | $3.07K | Sep 12, 2025 |
| 2025 September third hottest on record?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.870 | $435 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| 2025 September second hottest on record?No | buy | 3.8K | $0.919 | $3.49K | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 0.90ºC in August 2025?Yes | sell | 787.79 | $0.009 | $7.09 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.10ºC in August 2025?No | buy | 371.98 | $0.860 | $319.9 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.130 | $65 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 0.90ºC in July 2025?Yes | sell | 499.31 | $0.006 | $2.91 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.288 | $144 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 0.90–0.94ºC in July 2025?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.150 | $45 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.245 | $73.53 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.10ºC in July 2025?Yes | sell | 240 | $0.012 | $2.88 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?No | buy | 240 | $0.620 | $148.8 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| 2025 June hottest on record?No | sell | 50 | $0.997 | $49.85 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | buy | 57.47 | $0.870 | $50 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.400 | $10.8 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 32.27 | $0.070 | $2.26 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?Yes | buy | 36.66 | $0.860 | $31.53 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before August?Yes | sell | 49.85 | $0.080 | $3.99 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 94.37 | $0.660 | $62.28 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 0.95-0.99ºC in June 2025?Yes | sell | 900 | $0.006 | $5.4 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 0.95ºC in June 2025?Yes | sell | 592 | $0.001 | $0.59 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $100 in June?No | sell | 10.85 | $0.997 | $10.82 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 73.63 | $0.678 | $49.92 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 0.95-0.99ºC in June 2025?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.015 | $4.5 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| 2025 June hottest on record?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.990 | $1.09K | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?No | buy | 54.34 | $0.920 | $49.99 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by Friday?Yes | sell | 478.84 | $0.028 | $13.29 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 94.37 | $0.528 | $49.84 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | sell | 83.33 | $0.805 | $67.07 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before August?Yes | buy | 38.44 | $0.400 | $15.38 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 53.19 | $0.940 | $50 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?Yes | sell | 141 | $0.020 | $2.82 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Friday?No | sell | 115.6 | $0.910 | $105.2 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by Friday?Yes | buy | 627.33 | $0.080 | $50.19 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 57.67 | $0.870 | $50.17 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 2?No | sell | 53.65 | $0.923 | $49.52 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Friday?No | sell | 71.42 | $0.840 | $59.99 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.051 | $51.24 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Trump x Khamenei talk before July?No | sell | 54.94 | $0.920 | $50.54 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before July?Yes | sell | 151.72 | $0.122 | $18.54 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 518.21 | $0.090 | $46.64 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | sell | 56.15 | $0.880 | $49.41 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 198.41 | $0.252 | $50 | Jun 18, 2025 |