Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 187.72 | $0.980 | $183.97 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 709.08 |
| $0.024 |
| $17 |
| Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.330 | $16.5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 621.21 | $0.076 | $47 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.475 | $47.5 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 187.72 | $0.290 | $54.44 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.527 | $52.69 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.159 | $15.9 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.159 | $31.8 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 202 | $0.158 | $31.92 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 103.76 | $0.156 | $16.19 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 147.59 | $0.131 | $19.33 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 142.47 | $0.136 | $19.38 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Fulham win the 2024-25 FA Cup?Yes | buy | 107.5 | $0.048 | $5.11 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 DeepSeek banned in US before April?Yes | sell | 270.05 | $0.019 | $5.11 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| DeepSeek banned in US before April?Yes | buy | 270.05 | $0.190 | $51.31 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 362.7 | $0.052 | $18.8 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Will the AFD be part of the next German government?Yes | sell | 464.42 | $0.070 | $32.51 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 362.71 | $0.076 | $27.69 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon Fauci?Yes | sell | 92.3 | $0.300 | $27.69 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will the AFD be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 464.43 | $0.068 | $31.71 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.310 | $7.04 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.310 | $1.48 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?Yes | sell | 27.35 | $0.190 | $5.2 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon Hillary?Yes | sell | 115.38 | $0.070 | $8.08 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Bird flu declared public health emergency before April?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.220 | $9.56 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Bird flu declared public health emergency before April?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Dec 19, 2024 |
| Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 814.04 | $0.025 | $20.35 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.29K | $0.030 | $38.67 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.030 | $5 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.029 | $5 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Will Biden pardon Hillary?Yes | buy | 115.38 | $0.130 | $15 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 220 | $0.289 | $63.67 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 224.77 | $0.300 | $67.43 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?No | sell | 90.9 | $0.738 | $67.08 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Will Hailey Welch apologize by Friday?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Dec 5, 2024 |
| Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | Dec 5, 2024 |
| Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.198 | $18 | Dec 5, 2024 |
| Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?Yes | buy | 27.36 | $0.280 | $7.66 | Dec 5, 2024 |
| Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Dec 5, 2024 |
| Will Biden pardon Fauci?Yes | buy | 92.31 | $0.130 | $12 | Dec 3, 2024 |