Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.390 | $3 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.05 |
| $0.955 |
| $0.99 |
| -$0.01 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.92 | $0.520 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $0.91 | -$0.09 |
| buy |
| 1.92 |
| $0.520 |
| $1 |
| Jan 13, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.914 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.936 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 1.91 | $0.524 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 2.7 | $0.820 | $2.21 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on December 8?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on December 8?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Stable launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No | buy | 44.44 | $0.045 | $2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |