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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.986 | $13.8 | May 31, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.930 |
| $4.65 |
| May 25, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | May 4, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 7.09 | $0.987 | $7 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 12.51 | $0.959 | $12 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 DeepSeek R2 released before May?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 DeepSeek V4 released before May?No | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Yemen by Monday?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?No | buy | 5 | $0.170 | $0.85 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Zelensky remains President of Ukraine through September?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Jul 22, 2024 |